Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-10-07 Version:1

Prediction Map

Izixs Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Izixs Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	28
Rep	5
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	21
Rep	5
Ind	2
Tos	7
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	+2	+4	0	0	0	24	0	24	+4
Rep	0	0	0	-2	-2	-4	4	1	5	-4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	28	23	51
Republican	5	42	47
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
47	29	18

Analysis

Maybe a bit rosey.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	51/56	34/56	85/112	75.9%		3	5	550	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	19/35	49/70	70.0%		1	3	309	T	423
2020 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		1	5	211	T	293
2018 Senate	29/35	18/35	47/70	67.1%		1	30	334	T	483
2016 President	46/56	23/56	69/112	61.6%		4	1	579	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	16/34	45/68	66.2%		2	1	277	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	4/12	12/24	50.0%		2	1	164	T	279
2014 Senate	27/36	14/36	41/72	56.9%		1	481	322	T	382
2014 Governor	24/36	11/36	35/72	48.6%		1	481	281	T	300
2012 President	56/56	49/56	105/112	93.8%		4	4	4	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	20/33	52/66	78.8%		1	4	74	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		1	4	51	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	47/52	23/52	70/104	67.3%		27	-	5	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	2/4	6/8	75.0%		1	102	12	T	106
2010 Senate	25/37	12/37	37/74	50.0%		4	100	418	T	456
2010 Governor	25/37	13/37	38/74	51.4%		2	69	248	T	312
2008 President	52/56	47/56	99/112	88.4%		14	1	26	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	16/33	48/66	72.7%		2	1	172	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		2	257	50	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	40/52	19/52	59/104	56.7%		12	-	47	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	35/49	17/49	52/98	53.1%		8	-	43	T	235
2007 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	87	102	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	17/33	48/66	72.7%		5	15	207	T	465
2006 Governor	33/36	16/36	49/72	68.1%		5	12	147	T	312
2004 President	48/56	26/56	74/112	66.1%		20	39	1527	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	738/870	437/870	1175/1740	67.5%

User Info

	Izixs Forum Profile
	Izixs Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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