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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:4

Prediction Map
thebadger MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
thebadger MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem24
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind2
 
Tos5
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+1+2-20-2220220
Rep+20+2-1-1-25270
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic242347
Republican94251
Independent202
pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate /33 /33 /66 % pie
P 2018 Governor /36 /36 /72 % pie
P 2017 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 116 98T
P 2016 President 50/56 31/56 81/112 72.3% pie 71 0 194T
P 2016 Senate 32/34 22/34 54/68 79.4% pie 18 0 6T
P 2016 Governor 7/12 5/12 12/24 50.0% pie 18 0 164T
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 5 0 8T
P 2014 Senate 35/36 25/36 60/72 83.3% pie 5 1 21T
P 2014 Governor 31/36 21/36 52/72 72.2% pie 4 1 15T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 3 8 17T
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 48 0 47T
P 2012 Senate 31/33 20/33 51/66 77.3% pie 16 0 94T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 11 0 51T
P 2012 Rep Primary 45/52 27/52 72/104 69.2% pie 64 - 3
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 5 1 37T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 26 0 34T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 22/37 57/74 77.0% pie 26 0 91T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 7 1 1T
P 2008 President 53/56 44/56 97/112 86.6% pie 65 0 55T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 17 1 28T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 11 1 50T
P 2008 Dem Primary 43/52 18/52 61/104 58.7% pie 27 - 38T
P 2008 Rep Primary 38/49 18/49 56/98 57.1% pie 26 - 21T
P 2004 President 54/56 30/56 84/112 75.0% pie 16 1 834T
Aggregate Predictions 607/670 401/670 1008/1340 75.2% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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