Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:8

Prediction Map

Eraserhead Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Eraserhead Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	25
Rep	8
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	5
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	-1	0	-1	23	0	23	+1
Rep	+1	0	+1	-1	-1	-2	5	2	7	-1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	25	23	48
Republican	8	42	50
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
58	32	26

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	34/35	21/35	55/70	78.6%		4	2	183	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	29/36	63/72	87.5%		4	0	11	T	272
2020 President	53/56	44/56	97/112	86.6%		1	7	103	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	18/35	49/70	70.0%		1	5	309	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		1	7	10	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	26/35	58/70	82.9%		8	1	15	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	27/36	59/72	81.9%		6	5	38	T	372
2016 President	51/56	37/56	88/112	78.6%		52	1	27	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	18/34	50/68	73.5%		13	2	89	T	362
2016 Governor	11/12	5/12	16/24	66.7%		10	4	25	T	279
2014 Senate	34/36	20/36	54/72	75.0%		15	0	138	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	17/36	47/72	65.3%		15	0	97	T	300
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%		28	1	47	T	760
2012 Rep Primary	20/52	11/52	31/104	29.8%		13	-	152	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	26/37	60/74	81.1%		26	1	54	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	22/37	57/74	77.0%		27	1	91	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	8	56	T	103
2008 President	53/56	47/56	100/112	89.3%		31	1	13	T	1,505
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		1	56	58	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	586/661	426/661	1012/1322	76.6%

User Info

	Eraserhead Forum Profile
	Eraserhead Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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