Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2019-11-23 Version:6

Prediction Map

Lwp2004 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Lwp2004 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	22
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	21
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	0	+2	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+1
Rep	+1	0	+1	-2	0	-2	17	4	21	-1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	13	33	46
Republican	22	30	52
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	33/35	23/35	56/70	80.0%		1	4	147	T	305
2022 Governor	30/36	22/36	52/72	72.2%		1	4	216	T	272
2020 President	49/56	39/56	88/112	78.6%		24	8	480	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	26/35	58/70	82.9%		9	51	12	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	5/11	16/22	72.7%		4	85	211	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		5	4	35	T	192
2018 Senate	32/35	19/35	51/70	72.9%		2	156	211	T	483
2017 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%		3	3	98	T	149
2016 Senate	32/34	19/34	51/68	75.0%		1	360	60	T	362
Aggregate Predictions	223/247	155/247	378/494	76.5%

Links

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