Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-10-20 Version:2

Prediction Map

sjkqw Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

sjkqw Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	16
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+7	+1	+8	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+7
Rep	+1	0	+1	-7	-1	-8	13	2	15	-7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	33	52
Republican	16	30	46
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	34/35	20/35	54/70	77.1%		4	0	205	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	22/36	55/72	76.4%		4	0	173	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		3	13	48	T	118
2020 President	53/56	39/56	92/112	82.1%		5	7	307	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	22/35	55/70	78.6%		4	6	66	T	423
2018 Senate	32/35	21/35	53/70	75.7%		2	0	132	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	27/36	60/72	83.3%		1	2	18	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%		1	36	98	T	149
2016 President	50/56	33/56	83/112	74.1%		4	8	114	T	678
2016 Senate	28/34	16/34	44/68	64.7%		3	8	302	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	4/12	11/24	45.8%		1	542	223	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	253	8	T	112
2014 Senate	28/36	11/36	39/72	54.2%		1	594	342	T	382
2014 Governor	27/36	12/36	39/72	54.2%		1	594	253	T	300
2012 President	53/56	44/56	97/112	86.6%		3	9	227	T	760
2012 Senate	26/33	12/33	38/66	57.6%		2	9	283	T	343
2012 Rep Primary	30/52	8/52	38/104	36.5%		12	-	114	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	4/4	8/8	100.0%		1	107	1		106
2010 Senate	35/37	24/37	59/74	79.7%		11	7	63	T	456
2010 Governor	30/37	22/37	52/74	70.3%		12	4	143	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	541/633	344/633	885/1266	69.9%

Links

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