Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-10-15 Version:1

Prediction Map

JBrase Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

JBrase Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	17
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	14
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+7	0	+7	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+6
Rep	+1	0	+1	-7	0	-7	13	3	16	-6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	18	33	51
Republican	17	30	47
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
54	32	22

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2022 Senate	30/35	20/35	50/70	71.4%		1	10	266	T	305
2020 President	52/56	43/56	95/112	84.8%		3	6	179	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	22/35	54/70	77.1%		1	22	101	T	423
2018 Governor	33/36	19/36	52/72	72.2%		3	38	189	T	372
2016 President	47/56	24/56	71/112	63.4%		1	24	552	T	678
2014 Senate	34/36	24/36	58/72	80.6%		3	1	60	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	15/36	44/72	61.1%		4	1	171	T	300
2013 Governor	1/2	0/2	1/4	25.0%		2	163	138	T	153
2012 President	54/56	38/56	92/112	82.1%		5	25	435	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	17/33	48/66	72.7%		5	2	144	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%		2	104	157	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	19/52	9/52	28/104	26.9%		12	-	164	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	2/4	6/8	75.0%		2	122	12	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	28/37	62/74	83.8%		16	0	21	T	456
2010 Governor	32/37	24/37	56/74	75.7%		11	1	106	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		3	21	1	T	103
Aggregate Predictions	443/524	292/524	735/1048	70.1%

Links

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