Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-11-01 Version:1

Prediction Map

20RP12 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

20RP12 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	18
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	0	+6	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+5
Rep	+1	0	+1	-6	0	-6	14	3	17	-5
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	17	33	50
Republican	18	30	48
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
52	31	21

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	33/35	20/35	53/70	75.7%		2	82	224	T	305
2022 Governor	29/36	19/36	48/72	66.7%		1	307	248	T	272
2020 President	54/56	39/56	93/112	83.0%		4	7	260	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	21/35	52/70	74.3%		1	5	194	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		1	7	51	T	293
2016 President	50/56	30/56	80/112	71.4%		1	39	246	T	678
2014 Senate	31/36	16/36	47/72	65.3%		2	0	261	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	18/36	47/72	65.3%		3	0	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		3	110	17	T	153
2012 President	51/56	36/56	87/112	77.7%		5	41	561	T	760
2012 Senate	27/33	14/33	41/66	62.1%		2	92	241	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	4/11	13/22	59.1%		3	41	179	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	32/52	9/52	41/104	39.4%		3	-	106	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	2/4	6/8	75.0%		2	244	12	T	106
Aggregate Predictions	393/459	236/459	629/918	68.5%

Links

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