Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-11-02 Version:1

Prediction Map

liberal96 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

liberal96 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	17
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+7	0	+7	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+6
Rep	+1	0	+1	-7	0	-7	13	3	16	-6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	18	33	51
Republican	17	30	47
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
49	32	17

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	33/35	27/35	60/70	85.7%		1	1	48	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	28/36	62/72	86.1%		1	1	23	T	272
2020 President	53/56	41/56	94/112	83.9%		1	6	215	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	17/35	49/70	70.0%		1	4	309	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		1	6	10	T	293
2018 Senate	33/35	22/35	55/70	78.6%		1	0	67	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	18/36	49/72	68.1%		1	2	241	T	372
2016 President	51/56	26/56	77/112	68.8%		15	1	369	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	22/34	54/68	79.4%		7	1	6	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	8/12	17/24	70.8%		4	1	14	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	27/36	62/72	86.1%		8	1	4	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	18/36	48/72	66.7%		6	1	73	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	45	1	T	153
2012 President	56/56	45/56	101/112	90.2%		10	1	77	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	25/33	57/66	86.4%		2	1	5	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%		1	1	131	T	228
Aggregate Predictions	484/520	339/520	823/1040	79.1%

Links

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