Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-10-28 Version:1

Prediction Map

morgieb Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

morgieb Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	19
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	14
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+5	0	+5	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+4
Rep	+1	0	+1	-5	0	-5	15	3	18	-4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	16	33	49
Republican	19	30	49
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
55	32	23

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	53/56	44/56	97/112	86.6%		1	11	103	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	23/35	55/70	78.6%		1	9	66	T	423
2018 Senate	33/35	20/35	53/70	75.7%		1	4	132	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	27/36	60/72	83.3%		2	3	18	T	372
2016 President	46/56	27/56	73/112	65.2%		2	1	496	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	21/34	51/68	75.0%		1	3	60	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%		1	3	67	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	24/36	59/72	81.9%		6	11	42	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	19/36	50/72	69.4%		6	4	39	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	12	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	49/56	104/112	92.9%		7	0	13	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	20/33	51/66	77.3%		4	0	94	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		2	0	5	T	228
Aggregate Predictions	401/438	288/438	689/876	78.7%

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
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