Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2019-12-11 Version:1

Prediction Map

dgentile Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

dgentile Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	17
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	15
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+5	+1	+6	0	0	0	11	1	12	+6
Rep	0	0	0	-5	-1	-6	14	3	17	-6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	18	33	51
Republican	17	30	47
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
54	30	24

Analysis

GA finally allows blacks to vote.<br /> AL Trumpsters leave Sessions in dumpster.<br /> ME Collins' time is up.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2020 President	51/56	37/56	88/112	78.6%		2	168	480	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	24/35	54/70	77.1%		1	331	101	T	423
2016 President	42/56	25/56	67/112	59.8%		2	26	597	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	15/34	45/68	66.2%		1	96	277	T	362
2012 President	53/56	36/56	89/112	79.5%		2	1	508	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	16/33	48/66	72.7%		1	34	144	T	343
2010 Senate	26/37	16/37	42/74	56.8%		4	48	359	T	456
2008 President	54/56	35/56	89/112	79.5%		5	12	247	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	18/33	50/66	75.8%		1	29	117	T	407
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	17/33	47/66	71.2%		3	77	232	T	465
2004 President	46/56	24/56	70/112	62.5%		5	76	1629	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	426/485	263/485	689/970	71.0%

Links

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