Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-10-28 Version:1

Prediction Map

mob Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

mob Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	16
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	14
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+7	+1	+8	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+7
Rep	+1	0	+1	-7	-1	-8	13	2	15	-7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	33	52
Republican	16	30	46
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
39	27	12

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	51/56	37/56	88/112	78.6%		7	11	480	T	684
2020 Senate	27/35	12/35	39/70	55.7%		1	9	414	T	423
2016 President	46/56	27/56	73/112	65.2%		113	1	496	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	16/34	45/68	66.2%		7	30	277	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	3/12	10/24	41.7%		1	107	254	T	279
2012 President	54/56	39/56	93/112	83.0%		65	1	401	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	18/33	49/66	74.2%		14	1	128	T	343
2012 Rep Primary	40/52	6/52	46/104	44.2%		17	-	86	T	231
2010 Senate	31/37	18/37	49/74	66.2%		1	9	242	T	456
2010 Governor	25/37	12/37	37/74	50.0%		1	9	253	T	312
2008 President	50/56	39/56	89/112	79.5%		74	1	247	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	14/33	47/66	71.2%		19	20	204	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	5/11	16/22	72.7%		6	24	152	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	36/52	17/52	53/104	51.0%		18	-	65	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	35/49	11/49	46/98	46.9%		16	-	72	T	235
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	16/33	48/66	72.7%		4	1	207	T	465
2006 Governor	32/36	10/36	42/72	58.3%		4	1	244	T	312
2004 President	49/56	31/56	80/112	71.4%		87	1	1216	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	619/734	331/734	950/1468	64.7%

Links

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