Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-08-10 Version:1

Prediction Map

padfoot714 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

padfoot714 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	19
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	18
Ind	0
Tos	2
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+5	0	+5	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+4
Rep	+1	0	+1	-5	0	-5	14	4	18	-4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	16	33	49
Republican	19	30	49
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
50	30	20

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 Senate	30/35	20/35	50/70	71.4%		1	88	274	T	423
2016 President	49/56	32/56	81/112	72.3%		1	1	194	T	678
2014 Senate	29/36	19/36	48/72	66.7%		3	49	240	T	382
2014 Governor	27/36	14/36	41/72	56.9%		1	454	224	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%		1	10	98	T	153
2012 President	56/56	45/56	101/112	90.2%		6	3	77	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	21/33	53/66	80.3%		6	3	56	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		3	14	51	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	32/52	7/52	39/104	37.5%		14	-	111	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%		2	107	37	T	106
2010 Senate	36/37	26/37	62/74	83.8%		17	2	21	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	26/37	61/74	82.4%		10	2	29	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		3	25	56	T	103
2008 President	53/56	48/56	101/112	90.2%		52	0	6	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	27/33	60/66	90.9%		22	6	1	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		9	14	27	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	42/52	23/52	65/104	62.5%		21	-	28	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	36/49	19/49	55/98	56.1%		19	-	27	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		6	164	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	22/33	55/66	83.3%		13	2	46	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	28/36	63/72	87.5%		14	1	10	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	589/670	397/670	986/1340	73.6%

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