Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-11-01 Version:2

Prediction Map

Shilly Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Shilly Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	20
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	4
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	0	+4	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+3
Rep	+1	0	+1	-4	0	-4	16	3	19	-3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	15	33	48
Republican	20	30	50
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
50	31	19

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	33/35	25/35	58/70	82.9%		1	7	97	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	21/36	54/72	75.0%		1	7	194	T	272
2020 President	54/56	42/56	96/112	85.7%		2	7	130	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	19/35	50/70	71.4%		2	5	274	T	423
2018 Senate	32/35	23/35	55/70	78.6%		5	1	67	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	25/36	58/72	80.6%		5	3	56	T	372
2016 President	48/56	30/56	78/112	69.6%		3	1	325	T	678
2012 President	55/56	46/56	101/112	90.2%		4	0	77	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	23/33	54/66	81.8%		4	3	40	T	343
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%		2	41	37	T	106
2010 Senate	35/37	27/37	62/74	83.8%		14	0	21	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	29/37	64/74	86.5%		14	0	5	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		2	3	56	T	103
2008 President	53/56	43/56	96/112	85.7%		14	1	74	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	20/33	52/66	78.8%		7	3	81	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		3	3	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	25/52	9/52	34/104	32.7%		8	-	134	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	5/49	3/49	8/98	8.2%		5	-	217	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		2	168	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	24/33	56/66	84.8%		17	2	31	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	28/36	63/72	87.5%		20	3	10	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	621/731	448/731	1069/1462	73.1%

Links

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