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Date of Prediction: 2022-09-26 Version:3

Prediction Map
leip MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
leip MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
18 |
35 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep23
 
Ind0
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
18 |
35 |
50 |
Dem10
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind0
 
Tos5
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-20-211112-2
Rep+20+200015621+2
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (118th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic123446
Republican232952
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
513219
piepiepie

Analysis

Test Update Oklahoma Special


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 234
P 2023 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 1 280 99T115
P 2022 Senate 32/35 19/35 51/70 72.9% pie 3 43 255T305
P 2022 Governor 32/36 20/36 52/72 72.2% pie 2 325 216T272
P 2021 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 80 48T118
P 2020 President 50/56 37/56 87/112 77.7% pie 3 492 502T684
P 2020 Senate 31/35 20/35 51/70 72.9% pie 1 368 241T423
P 2020 Governor 10/11 5/11 15/22 68.2% pie 1 370 249T293
P 2019 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 3 125 104T192
P 2018 Senate 29/35 17/35 46/70 65.7% pie 2 130 362T483
P 2018 Governor 26/36 13/36 39/72 54.2% pie 1 353 351T372
P 2017 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 116 138T149
P 2016 President 49/56 29/56 78/112 69.6% pie 2 542 325T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 19/34 51/68 75.0% pie 1 543 60T362
P 2016 Governor 8/12 3/12 11/24 45.8% pie 1 543 223T279
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 2 273 72T112
P 2014 Senate 27/36 11/36 38/72 52.8% pie 2 184 351T382
P 2014 Governor 29/36 14/36 43/72 59.7% pie 1 599 192T300
P 2013 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 235 138T153
P 2012 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 3 473 314T760
P 2012 Senate 29/33 10/33 39/66 59.1% pie 1 268 268T343
P 2012 Governor 9/11 3/11 12/22 54.5% pie 2 268 196T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 26/52 7/52 33/104 31.7% pie 5 - 141T231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 3 243 37T106
P 2010 Senate 30/37 14/37 44/74 59.5% pie 4 98 321T456
P 2010 Governor 20/37 10/37 30/74 40.5% pie 2 357 292T312
P 2009 Governor 0/2 0/2 0/4 0.0% pie 1 138 101T103
P 2008 President 46/56 24/56 70/112 62.5% pie 4 372 958T1,505
P 2008 Senate 25/33 10/33 35/66 53.0% pie 1 362 386T407
P 2008 Governor 10/11 5/11 15/22 68.2% pie 1 362 183T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 25/52 9/52 34/104 32.7% pie 4 - 134T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 11/49 3/49 14/98 14.3% pie 1 - 191T235
P 2007 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 3 8 155T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 26/33 8/33 34/66 51.5% pie 3 7 437T465
P 2006 Governor 28/36 9/36 37/72 51.4% pie 6 199 279T312
P 2004 President 53/56 35/56 88/112 78.6% pie 15 15 359T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 759/994 402/994 1161/1988 58.4% pie



Alabama3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Arizona3 Arkansas3 California3 California3 California3 California3 Colorado3 Connecticut3 Connecticut3 Florida3 Georgia3 Georgia3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho3 Illinois3 Indiana3 Iowa3 Kansas3 Kentucky3 Louisiana3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Missouri3 Nevada3 New Hampshire3 New York3 New York3 North Carolina3 North Dakota3 Ohio3 Oklahoma2 Oklahoma3 Oregon3 Pennsylvania3 South Carolina3 South Dakota3 Utah3 Vermont3 Washington3 Washington3 Washington3 Wisconsin3 Wisconsin3

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