Election 2022 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2022-10-28 Version:10

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	8
Rep	27
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	8
Rep	21
Ind	0
Tos	6
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-6	0	-6	7	1	8	-6
Rep	+6	0	+6	0	0	0	15	6	21	+6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (118th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	8	34	42
Republican	27	29	56
Independent	0	2	2

Analysis

Republicans pick up Nevada (Adam Laxalt), Arizona (Blake Masters), New Hampshire (Don Bolduc), Colorado (Joe O'Dea), Georgia (Herschel Walker), and Washington (Tiffany Smiley).

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	/34	/34	/68	%					304
2022 Governor	/37	/37	/74	%					271
2020 President	48/56	21/56	69/112	61.6%	37	6	675		684
2020 Senate	28/35	8/35	36/70	51.4%	36	4	421		423
2020 Governor	11/11	1/11	12/22	54.5%	2	17	284	T	293
2018 Senate	31/35	13/35	44/70	62.9%	10	9	402	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	17/36	47/72	65.3%	6	11	273	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	114	40	T	149
2016 President	48/56	23/56	71/112	63.4%	26	2	552	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	12/34	42/68	61.8%	23	2	327	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	3/12	11/24	45.8%	9	1	223	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	4	1	8	T	112
2014 Senate	34/36	20/36	54/72	75.0%	38	5	138	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	14/36	45/72	62.5%	30	1	145	T	300
Aggregate Predictions	303/352	135/352	438/704	62.2%