Election 2022 Senatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2022-05-30 Version:7

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	8
Rep	26
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	8
Rep	26
Ind	0
Tos	0
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-6	0	-6	7	1	8	-6
Rep	+6	0	+6	0	0	0	15	5	20	+6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (118th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	8	0	8
Republican	26	0	26
Independent	0	0	0

Analysis

Republicans pick up Nevada (Adam Laxalt), Arizona (Blake Masters), New Hampshire (Chuck Morse), Connecticut (Themis Klarides), Washington (Tiffany Smiley), and Colorado (Joe O'Dea). Joe Manchin and Krysten Sinema also switch over to the Republican Party after much wooing by Mitch McConnell, John Barrasso, and John Thune.<br /> <br /> Raphael Warnock does end up surviving narrowly because Herschel Walker is so mentally compromised that he makes Donald Trump look like Albert Einstein or Thomas Edison in terms of intellect.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	/34	/34	/68	%					138
2022 Governor	/37	/37	/74	%					116
2020 President	48/56	21/56	69/112	61.6%	37	6	675		684
2020 Senate	28/35	8/35	36/70	51.4%	36	4	421		423
2020 Governor	11/11	1/11	12/22	54.5%	2	17	284	T	293
2018 Senate	31/35	13/35	44/70	62.9%	10	9	402	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	17/36	47/72	65.3%	6	11	273	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	114	40	T	149
2016 President	48/56	23/56	71/112	63.4%	26	2	552	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	12/34	42/68	61.8%	23	2	327	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	3/12	11/24	45.8%	9	1	223	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	4	1	8	T	112
2014 Senate	34/36	20/36	54/72	75.0%	38	5	138	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	14/36	45/72	62.5%	30	1	145	T	300
Aggregate Predictions	303/352	135/352	438/704	62.2%