Predictions2022 Senatorial Predictions - jtsmd2 (D-AL) Polls
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Date of Prediction: 2022-08-09 Version:2

Prediction Map
jtsmd2 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
jtsmd2 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem16
 
pie
Rep18
 
Ind0
 
Non16
 

Confidence States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep17
 
Ind0
 
Tos5
 
Non16
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+1+200013114+2
Rep000-1-1-214418-2
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (118th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic16016
Republican18018
Independent000
pie

Analysis

Version 2. Early August updated prediction. Net gain of two seats for the Democrats based on changing landscape post-Dobbs opinion.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2022 Senate /34 /34 /68 % pie 141
P 2020 President 52/56 40/56 92/112 82.1% pie 7 6 307T684
P 2020 Senate 30/35 19/35 49/70 70.0% pie 8 4 309T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 1 6 51T293
P 2018 Senate 30/35 19/35 49/70 70.0% pie 1 1 272T483
P 2018 Governor 29/36 24/36 53/72 73.6% pie 1 2 164T372
Aggregate Predictions 152/173 109/173 261/346 75.4% pie



Alabama3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Arizona3 Arkansas3 California3 California3 California3 California3 Colorado3 Connecticut3 Connecticut3 Florida3 Georgia3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho3 Illinois3 Indiana3 Iowa3 Kansas3 Kentucky3 Louisiana3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Missouri3 Nevada3 New Hampshire3 New York3 New York3 North Carolina3 North Dakota3 Ohio3 Oklahoma3 Oregon3 Pennsylvania3 South Carolina3 South Dakota3 Utah3 Vermont3 Washington3 Washington3 Washington3 Wisconsin3 Wisconsin3

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