Election 2022 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2022-05-01 Version:1

Prediction Map

paxamericana Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

paxamericana Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	23
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	10
Rep	20
Ind	0
Tos	4
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-3	0	-3	10	1	11	-3
Rep	+3	0	+3	0	0	0	15	5	20	+3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (118th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	11	34	45
Republican	23	29	52
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
50	30	20

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	30/35	20/35	50/70	71.4%		1	191	266	T	305
2020 President	52/56	43/56	95/112	84.8%		8	6	179	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	21/35	54/70	77.1%		1	148	101	T	423
Aggregate Predictions	115/126	84/126	199/252	79.0%

User Info

paxamericana Forum Profile

Links

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