Election 2022 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2022-11-07 Version:1

Prediction Map

AHDuke99 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

AHDuke99 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	24
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	10
Rep	20
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-3	0	-3	10	1	11	-3
Rep	+3	0	+3	0	0	0	15	6	21	+3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (118th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	11	34	45
Republican	24	29	53
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
54	31	23

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	31/35	23/35	54/70	77.1%		1	1	205	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	22/36	55/72	76.4%		1	1	173	T	272
2020 President	52/56	39/56	91/112	81.3%		7	6	359	T	684
2016 President	52/56	40/56	92/112	82.1%		1	1	6	T	678
2012 President	55/56	49/56	104/112	92.9%		6	6	13	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	19/33	49/66	74.2%		1	10	128	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		1	10	89	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	17/52	9/52	26/104	25.0%		6	-	171	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	23/37	57/74	77.0%		16	1	100	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	24/37	59/74	79.7%		10	1	59	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	75	41	T	103
2008 President	51/56	43/56	94/112	83.9%		38	1	115	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	21/33	53/66	80.3%		7	2	57	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		4	2	50	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	40/52	25/52	65/104	62.5%		16	-	28	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	43/49	21/49	64/98	65.3%		23	-	3	T	235
2004 President	54/56	27/56	81/112	72.3%		2	1	1142	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	582/668	399/668	981/1336	73.4%

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