MA Senate - Special Election Results thread

[Holmes]

The red avatar's reaction to this is amusing in a pathetic sort of way (not to be condescending )

Obnoxious Liberals are like that.

If Coakley won, would Massachusetts be full of obnoxious liberals?

[Beet]

LOL someone just bought Brown on Intrade now @90. The site has been crashed since just before 8pm, and it just came back up, but the contract isn't expired yet.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

dang, his daughters are good looking

[Eraserhead]

dang, his daughters are good looking

Pics or GTFO

[Sam Spade]

Torie - Why would there be any movement against Obama among liberals and college towns as opposed to any other area in the country?  I would argue that this is the group that identifies with him the most, moreso than even the blacks, because he is one of them, not the latter (although their skin color may be the same).

It's like saying there would be major movement in west Texas against Bush in 2004.

[cinyc]

With most of the precincts now in, I can easily compute this:

We're down about 820,000 votes from the Globe's unofficial tally in the 2008 Presidential election - a drop of about 37% from the Globe's last unofficial 2008 numbers in the Presidential race.  The drop in Cambridge was about 41.5%.  The drop in Amherst was about 63%.

[Vepres]

The red avatar's reaction to this is amusing in a pathetic sort of way (not to be condescending )

I did not pick up that at all here.  Most everyone has been quite polite and well within bounds.

I didn't say they weren't polite, but the general vibe and comments were amusing to me, IDK why though. Maybe I'm just an evil person

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

The red avatar's reaction to this is amusing in a pathetic sort of way (not to be condescending )

Obnoxious Liberals are like that.

If Coakley won, would Massachusetts be full of obnoxious liberals?

Not sure what you are driving at but if you mean "Would I criticize MA for electing Coakley?"
No, I don't bash states like some of my Conservative Friends do. And I would advise them to quit bashing MA if they want to build anything permenenet. But I am sure that dumb b*tch Palin or that hilly billy from Arkansas will screw the MA GOP over in there quest to beat Romney in the Primary.

I just love to watch as Liberals on this forum have there balloon popped. I look forward to us having 48 Senate seats and 210 House seats next year.

[Torie]

Torie - Why would there be any movement against Obama among liberals and college towns as opposed to any other area in the country?  I would argue that this is the group that identifies with him the most, moreso than even the blacks, because he is one of them, not the latter (although their skin color may be the same).

It's like saying there would be major movement in west Texas against Bush in 2004.

Ya I agree with all of that, and as a secular "rich" with certain moderate to liberal instincts on some issues, I like Obama more than about 95% of my fellow Pubbies, so it not like I cannot understand the phenomenon.

[Vepres]

The red avatar's reaction to this is amusing in a pathetic sort of way (not to be condescending )

Obnoxious Liberals are like that.

If Coakley won, would Massachusetts be full of obnoxious liberals?

Not sure what you are driving at but if you mean "Would I criticize MA for electing Coakley?"
No, I don't bash states like some of my Conservative Friends do. And I would advise them to quit bashing MA if they want to build anything permenenet. But I am sure that dumb b*tch Palin or that hilly billy from Arkansas will screw the MA GOP over in there quest to beat Romney in the Primary.

I agree with this. I like MA and wouldn't blame them for electing Coakley because they're predisposed to do so. They're not stupid, they just have different opinions.

As to the Palin and Huckster, I couldn't agree more. Personally, Republicans from blue states/districts are among my favorite members of congress.

[Purple State]

So will the White House pick some smart political fights now that their agenda is shot through?

[J. J.]

51.9% Brown
47.1% Coakley
01.0% Kennedy

Brown 4.8%

http://www.nytimes.com/

[Lahbas]

Finally, my vote counts!

[Torie]

Somewhere, Ted Kennedy is looking up at all this and fuming.

I picked up the  well "up" word you troll you, albeit a most brilliant one sometimes.  Naughty!  

[Meeker]

What did turn out end up being?

[Psychic Octopus]

Somewhere, Ted Kennedy is looking up at all this and fuming.

Looking up at this? Are you implying that he is in hell?

[Meeker]

Somewhere, Ted Kennedy is looking up at all this and fuming.

Looking up at this? Are you implying that he is in hell?

That is exactly what he's implying. Van Der Blub is what we call a "troll".

[Psychic Octopus]

Somewhere, Ted Kennedy is looking up at all this and fuming.

Looking up at this? Are you implying that he is in hell?

That is exactly what he's implying. Van Der Blub is what we call a "troll".

Oh, for some reason I recognized the avatar and thought it was BRTD.

[cinyc]

I'll have a lot more to say tomorrow when I can work the remaining bugs out of my charts.  But with almost everything in now, I can say this:

The Boston Democratic Party Machine didn't deliver.  The number of Boston voters dropped from about 232,500 to 153,000 - a decrease of 34% measured against the 2008 numbers (I mistakenly compared the Amherst and Cambridge numbers to today's numbers in giving percentages earlier - they should be about 39% and 29%, respectively).  The overall decline statewide was about 26.5%.

Unless uncounted absentees come to save the day (doubtful), college town Amherst had one of the largest declines.  Most of the others with greater than 35% drops fit in to a few patterns.  Where were the other big declines?  

In liberal minorityish strongholds like Aquinnah (-38%), which has a high Native American population, Brockton (-35%), which has the state's second largest African-American population, and Holyoke (-42%) and Lawrence (49%), which have large Hispanic communities,

In the Democrat strongholds near Boston, like Chelsea (-40%), one of the poorest communities in the state, and Everett (-36%).  

In the largest, blue-collar cities of the state, like Fall River (-41%), Lowell (-35%), New Bedford (-40%), Springfield (-43%) and Worcester (-37%).

And in Berkshire County Towns like Adams (-40%), Cheshire (-36%), Florida (-36%), Lanesborough (-36%), Peru (-37%), Pittsfield (-37%), Savoy (-40%) - which are solidly Democratic areas in the Albany, NY TV market.

We don't need an exit poll to figure out 18-29 turnout was down, minority turnout was down and lower-income turnout was down.

More tomorrow.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Somewhere, Ted Kennedy is looking up at all this and fuming.

Looking up at this? Are you implying that he is in hell?

That is exactly what he's implying. Van Der Blub is what we call a "troll".

Oh, for some reason I recognized the avatar and thought it was BRTD.

I almost did the same thing in the "Patrick Retires thread" thankfully I caught it rather quickly.

[Psychic Octopus]

Amazing - I told you Ike!!! I told you it wouldn't be 1%!!!!

[Ronnie]

Torie - Why would there be any movement against Obama among liberals and college towns as opposed to any other area in the country?  I would argue that this is the group that identifies with him the most, moreso than even the blacks, because he is one of them, not the latter (although their skin color may be the same).

It's like saying there would be major movement in west Texas against Bush in 2004.

Ya I agree with all of that, and as a secular "rich" with certain moderate to liberal instincts on some issues, I like Obama more than about 95% of my fellow Pubbies, so it not like I cannot understand the phenomenon.

Your infatuation with Obama still befuddles me.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I admit it - I was wrong last week when I said he didn't have a chance.

[cinyc]

If my data's correct, only 2 towns saw a less than 10% drop in voters from the unofficial 2008 totals:

The Republican Cape Cod stronghold of Orleans (-9%) - one of the few Massachusetts towns that has almost as many registered Republicans as Democrats.

Revere (-7%).  That one surprises me a bit - it's a lower-middle-class town near Boston.  Its PVI is +0.7 - a true Bellwether, if I've inputted the data correctly.  Perhaps residents are mad the state shut down their greyhound track.  Or there's something ethnic going on that is really bad news for Democrats.

[CultureKing]

Well, looks like my 4.5% Brown victory prediction was pretty good.