2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)

[Lunar]

Soo...Simmons won his old CD and that's about it?

I'm not sure there was ever a route of victory for Simmons in this primary.  There wasn't a lot for conservatives to get excited about with his record outside of electability and his military service, and McMahon destroyed the electability argument by indicating her willingness to spend 50 million bucks or whatever it is to win this race.

I'm still a secret fan of Simmon's possum strategy for the underdog candidate...you're underfunded, you can't keep going toe-to-toe 'till election day, you save your $500k or whatevsky it is, and your principle opponent is too afraid of bombarding you with attacks while your campaign is "suspended," and he/she/it'll want your endorsement...it's a hail mary strategy at best, but I'm not sure if it was a bad call by Simmons.  

[tpfkaw]

Whatever the result of the Georgia runoff, the loser is gonna be demanding a recount . . .

[Lunar]

Maes' lead is down to 2,400 votes.

Yikes!

If McInnis wins, what are the odds he actually stays in the race?  I know he said he would, but he's not an anti-establishment character, and the CO GOP wants him out an some random millionaire to replace him sooooo badly

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

Stick a fork in Bernier in CT-05.  He's done.  There's little of Hartford County left and more New Haven, which Debicella is winning big.

McMahon has been declared the winner (no shock there).

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Disgusting. Connecticut sucks.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

The wet dream going around the GOP blogs is apparently having McInnis drop out and replace him with Norton, which would apparently cause Tancredo to drop out.

[Barnes]

Whatever the result of the Georgia runoff, the loser is gonna be demanding a recount . . .

Certainly. I can't remember what the percentage is for an automatic recount. Maybe .5 percent?

[Lunar]

Blumenthal just sent out an email blast announcing his opponent as McMahon.

Damn if that's not the quickest damn email blast in response to a real-time event that I ever saw.

[quote]Dear Friend,

It's official. Tonight, wrestling CEO Linda McMahon won the Republican primary and will be opposing Dick Blumenthal in Connecticut's U.S. Senate race.

There is a real choice in this election. Dick Blumenthal has stood up to the special interests and fought for the people of Connecticut for more than 20 years, making a difference in people's lives.

And while he was serving the people of Connecticut? Linda McMahon was putting her own interests and her own profits first.

In tough times, we need someone in touch with the people of Connecticut -- someone who has been in the trenches and will fight for us and for our future.

[cinyc]

McDouche

Simmons

Here's the updated CT-R-Sen town map with 440 of 772 in:



(McMahon blue, Schiff green, Simmons Red).

I've added the CT-Congressional District layer to further make the point - Simmons won his CD and not much else.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Called for Bennet. Buck is up to a 52-48 lead now (10,000 votes). McInnis has retaken the lead, by about 2,000 votes.

MAK's lead is shrinking, she's down to 45.8-36.4 now.

[Lunar]

Cinyc, glad you included Schiff  That county has less than 4k residents...which still makes it bigger than the city I spent most of my life in heh

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Heh, my precinct:

    OLE' SAVIOR AND TODD "ELVIS" ANDERSON    1   10.00   
    LESLIE DAVIS AND GREGORY K. SODERBERG    2   20.00   
    BOB CARNEY JR AND WILLIAM MCGAUGHEY    1   10.00   
    TOM EMMER AND ANNETTE T. MEEKS    6   60.00

    MARGARET ANDERSON KELLIHER AND JOHN GUNYOU    195   49.62   
    PETER IDUSOGIE AND LADY JAYNE FONTAINE    0   0.00   
    MATT ENTENZA AND ROBYNE ROBINSON    66   16.79   
    MARK DAYTON AND YVONNE PRETTNER SOLON    132   33.59

The Republican running unopposed for CD 5 has 8 votes. On the DFL side:

    BARB DAVIS WHITE    23   6.08   
    KEITH ELLISON    341   90.21   
    GREGG A. IVERSON    14   3.70

Davis White was Ellison's Republican opponent in 2008, and she has more votes than the actual Republican.

Now of course it's true that there was no real reason for Republicans to vote but still quite amusing.

[tmthforu94]

Whatever the result of the Georgia runoff, the loser is gonna be demanding a recount . . .

Certainly. I can't remember what the percentage is for an automatic recount. Maybe .5 percent?

This is just ridiculously close. I was hoping Handel would be leading by the end, but I'm worried we may have a slight Deal lead. There will be a recount regardless.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

at least Simmons seems to have handily won my birthplace of Groton. if only there were a runoff!  if I were in CT I dont know which major party sleezeball I could support. I wonder how many other CT voters feel the same way. right now I'm guessing Schiff launches a 3rd party run.

[cinyc]

And Connecticut R-Governor.

The towns outlined in yellow have Italian American populations of 20% or more.  There's not as much of a pattern as I expected - though Fedele seems to be winning the heaviest ones (New Haven suburbs).

[Lunar]

Blumenthal just sent out an email blast announcing his opponent as McMahon.

Damn if that's not the quickest damn email blast in response to a real-time event that I ever saw.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

hahahahaha, I got Linda McMahon's campaign email blast AFTER Blumenthal's on the subject, awesome.  

[quote]Excitement is in the air -- moments ago, the Associated Press called the primary race for us.

Before I speak to the crowd here at the victory party, I wanted to send you a quick note thanking you for the key role you played in our victory.

We built a grassroots movement made up of extraordinary people just like you, and tonight, we sent a strong message to all the career politicians that we want a different kind of Senator...

... A Senator who knows how to create jobs, a Senator who will put an end to politics as usual, a Senator who won't be beholden to special interests, a Senator who will stop the runway spending, and -- most importantly -- a Senator who will put our state back to work.

Now, it's on to November.

Let's keep the momentum building today so that we can begin changing Washington in 84 days.

Please forward this email to five friends and ask them to join you in supporting our campaign.

This was your victory tonight.

Thanks for all that you do.

On to victory,

Linda McMahon

P.S. We've won the Republican nomination, but our final challenge lies ahead: winning in November. Let's keep the momentum and excitement of our primary victory going. Can I count on you to forward this email to five friends and ask them to join you in supporting our campaign?

P.P.S. Be sure to tune in tomorrow morning to NBC's Today Show, ABC's Good Morning America and CBS's The Early Show. I will be a guest on all three programs.

[cinyc]

Cinyc, glad you included Schiff  That county has less than 4k residents...which still makes it bigger than the city I spent most of my life in heh

It's a town, not a county.  New England states report results by town - which makes data analysis a lot more interesting because more census data is available.

[cinyc]

at least Simmons seems to have handily won my birthplace of Groton. if only there were a runoff!  if I were in CT I dont know which major party sleezeball I could support. I wonder how many other CT voters feel the same way. right now I'm guessing Schiff launches a 3rd party run.

McMahon may end up with over 50% in the end, given what's still out.

[Lunar]

Ohrly?  Still.  Cool maps.

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

McDouche

Simmons

Here's the updated CT-R-Sen town map with 440 of 772 in:



(McMahon blue, Schiff green, Simmons Red).

I've added the CT-Congressional District layer to further make the point - Simmons won his CD and not much else.

Yay, Peter Schiff won a town.

Schiff should just declare an independent candidacy right away now.

[Lunar]

A runoff would not help Simmons, it'd only hurt McMahon

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Apparently there was an error, so Maes is still ahead. However, his lead is down to about 1,300 votes.

[Lunar]

Apparently there was an error, so Maes is still ahead. However, his lead is down to about 1,300 votes.

If McInnis is lying about his intention to stay in this race, then the future of the CO:Gov race is in the balance.  If he's telling the truth, then it's not.

[tmthforu94]

Handel just narrowed the gap to 3500. Fulton county is still steadily trickling in.

[cinyc]

Yeah, Fedele is getting a slight bump in Italian-American >20% towns:

[Torie]

The Deal-Handel race looks like just about a tie. It all comes down to how many GOP voters are in the 50 or so precincts out in Fulton (if in black neighborhoods, Deal wins; if up in the northern part of Fulton, then Handel may have a slight edge. The remaining 30 or so precincts elsewhere kind of look like a wash, with about 8 largely empty precincts still out in a small county.

The Norton Buck race also looks like close to a tie. It may be almost all of the precincts will have to be counted to make a call.