The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread

[Miles]

Hillary is headlining a fundraiser in Beverly Hills for T-Mac.

[RogueBeaver]

WSJ says Christie, Paul and Ryan have improved their standing in the shutdown.

[RogueBeaver]

Hillary spoke to NACS.

[Likely Voter]

WSJ says Christie, Paul and Ryan have improved their standing in the shutdown.

Improved their standing with establishment GOP, but Cruz has helped himself with primary (and especially caucus) voters.

[RogueBeaver]

Hillary took shots at Biden over the OBL raid at a closed Atlanta event.

[Lupo]

WSJ says Christie, Paul and Ryan have improved their standing in the shutdown.

Improved their standing with establishment GOP, but Cruz has helped himself with primary (and especially caucus) voters.

That's arguable.  I think GOP primary voters have shown a significant deference to electability in the past two cycles, and Ted Cruz is not electable.  Now, it's my belief that in light of the McCain and Romney losses their will be a strong push for a more principled conservative to generate excitement, but Cruz would have to compete with other candidates just as principled but much more electable than he.

[PolitiJunkie]

WSJ says Christie, Paul and Ryan have improved their standing in the shutdown.

Improved their standing with establishment GOP, but Cruz has helped himself with primary (and especially caucus) voters.

That's arguable.  I think GOP primary voters have shown a significant deference to electability in the past two cycles, and Ted Cruz is not electable.  Now, it's my belief that in light of the McCain and Romney losses their will be a strong push for a more principled conservative to generate excitement, but Cruz would have to compete with other candidates just as principled but much more electable than he.

Yeah, I wouldn't be surprised if the establishment coalesced around a "compromise" so to speak. A principled, articulate conservative like Marco Rubio or Scott Walker, rather than a relative moderate like Christie or Bush or an unelectable whackobird like Cruz or Paul.

[RogueBeaver]

Or as I call them, a fusionist. Most likely whichever Cheeseman runs.

[Likely Voter]

WSJ says Christie, Paul and Ryan have improved their standing in the shutdown.

Improved their standing with establishment GOP, but Cruz has helped himself with primary (and especially caucus) voters.

That's arguable.  I think GOP primary voters have shown a significant deference to electability in the past two cycles, and Ted Cruz is not electable.  Now, it's my belief that in light of the McCain and Romney losses their will be a strong push for a more principled conservative to generate excitement, but Cruz would have to compete with other candidates just as principled but much more electable than he.

In 2008 and 2012 McCain and Romney won because of too many from the conservative wing splitting the vote.  2016 may end up the same, but if a consensus conservative candidate emerges early on, then they could win. 

That being said, I don't think Cruz could go all the way. He is sure to self-immolate at some point.

[Mr. Morden]

Ventura sounds eager to run for president:

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/10/instrumental-to-a-jesse-ventura-2016-bid-howard-stern-for-vp-98345.html?hp=r11

You must be logged in to read this quote.

But says he needs Howard Stern to run with him, in order for it to work:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Mr. Morden]

Huckabee mulling 2016:

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/328653-huckabee-mulling-2016-presidential-run

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[RogueBeaver]

Cruz, Paul, Rubio, Ryan vote against Reid-McConnell.

[Mr. Morden]

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/10/bobby-jindal-america-next-98432.html?hp=l2

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Mr. Morden]

Perry is doing everything possible to show that he's planting the seeds for 2016, as detailed in this article:

http://www.nationaljournal.com/politics/rick-perry-wasn-t-kidding-he-s-really-thinking-about-2016-20131016?mrefid=LeadStoryTiles_medium

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

The more Tea Partiers, the better. And people say Christie has no chance?

[Maxwell]

I'd love two weeks of Rick Perry 2016. Should be good fun.

[Mr. Morden]

Who did Jindal hire to run his new nonprofit?  Jill Neunaber, who helped run Romney's 2012 campaign in Iowa and New Hampshire last year:

http://therun2016.com/jindal-hires-romney-early-state-staffer/

Also:

http://theadvocate.com/home/7339280-125/jindal-i-dont-know-if

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Mr. Morden]

http://therun2016.com/rand-paul-back-to-south-carolina/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[RogueBeaver]

Schweitzer signals potential interest, even if Hillary runs.

[Mr. Morden]

Schweitzer signals potential interest, even if Hillary runs.

Here's the relevant quote:

link

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Yikes.  "Are we now in the era of royalty again?"  That's the most pointed challenge to Clinton we've seen from any of the other Dem. 2016ers to date.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[PolitiJunkie]

Schweitzer signals potential interest, even if Hillary runs.

Here's the relevant quote:

link

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Yikes.  "Are we now in the era of royalty again?"  That's the most pointed challenge to Clinton we've seen from any of the other Dem. 2016ers to date.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Wow. I know who isn't gonna be Hillary's VP. Still, it'd be cool if he ran against her.

[Mr. Morden]

I like how Schweitzer calls Bill Richardson "Billy".  That's just the kind of folksiness that he'll ride to the White House. 

[RogueBeaver]

Walker knocks Romney in his new book while selling his own record.

[Mr. Morden]

Jeb Bush asked whether the recent polling showing voter distaste for Washington will impact his decision on whether to run for president:

http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2013/10/jeb-bush-says-distaste-for-dc-wont-impact-potential-2016-wh-bid/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[RogueBeaver]

Catanese on the UNH poll.