The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

[rbt48]

Yes, it is sooo close.  I think I saw that Bruning had pulled within about 250 votes.  But he is losing Douglas County by 11% with about 60% of the vote still out.  Bruning is winning Lancaster County by only 3% with perhaps 65% still to count there.  Bruning seems to be carrying most of the small western Nebraska counties by small margins.  I'm unsure if it will be enough for him to claim a narrow win.

With 61% in:
Ricketts 39,622 26.7
Bruning 39,381 26.5
McCoy 31,655 21.3
Foley 25,722 17.3

[Flake]

Yes, it is sooo close.  I think I saw that Bruning had pulled within about 250 votes.  But he is losing Douglas County by 11% with about 60% of the vote still out.  Bruning is winning Lancaster County by only 3% with perhaps 65% still to count there.  Bruning seems to be carrying most of the small western Nebraska counties by small margins.  I'm unsure if it will be enough for him to claim a narrow win.

With 61% in:
Ricketts 39,622 26.7
Bruning 39,381 26.5
McCoy 31,655 21.3
Foley 25,722 17.3

I'm going to love to make a map of this.

[rbt48]

Can't wait to see a county map!

County results at this site:  http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_county/NE_Governor_0513.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

[ElectionsGuy]

I'll see who wins in the morning. But in the meantime, Doug Peterson has won the open Attorney General primary, and Charlie Janssen has won for Auditor.

[Flake]

I think it's safe to call it for Ricketts, because, although the margin is close, he is getting a large margin out of Douglas County and it only has half its precincts reporting and Ricketts's (?) margin should grow larger and larger as the night goes on.

[Flake]

The race has been called for Ricketts

[publicunofficial]

I'm surprised the NE-GOP didn't throw Ricketts under a bus after his landslide defeat in 2006.

[Maxwell]

Lee Terry only won his primary by 6. I think he's headed toward a loss in the general.

[Flake]

Lee Terry only won his primary by 6. I think he's headed toward a loss in the general.

Why was it so close in the first place?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Lee Terry only won his primary by 6. I think he's headed toward a loss in the general.

Why was it so close in the first place?

He's always been an exceptionally weak incumbent (reminds me a bit of John Sullivan, but in a less Republican district).  His comments about the government shutdown might've simply been the last straw.

[Maxwell]

Lee Terry only won his primary by 6. I think he's headed toward a loss in the general.

Why was it so close in the first place?

He's always been an exceptionally weak incumbent (reminds me a bit of John Sullivan, but in a less Republican district).  His comments about the government shutdown might've simply been the last straw.

I mean, he won by only 2 points in 2012. Offing Terry is a very serious Democratic prospect (or should be), especially since Ashford seems like a solid candidate.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/govbeat/wp/2014/05/14/this-west-virginia-17-year-old-just-beat-an-incumbent-state-delegate/?tid=pm_pop

[Kevinstat]

It's interesting that Arkansas (primary this coming Tuesday, May 27), this year at least, has its (primary (the only runoff Arkansas has)) runoff (where necessary, and there are 3-way Republican primaries for Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General this year, plus some in both parties for some legislative seats I'm sure) only three weeks later, Tuesday, June 10.  South Carolina has only a two weeks between it's primary on June 10 and it's (primary) runoff on Tuesday, June 24, and as both dates are in June I imagine that 14-day gap is the same regardless of which of how the days of the week and dates of the year add up.

Interestingly, and I looked into this because Maine's primary is on the 2nd Tuesday in June, for any n, the nth Tuesday in June will always fall the same number of weeks before the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November (Election Day).  For the 2nd Tuesday it's 21 weeks (147 days).  The same would apply (as far as days or weeks and days goes) for a primary or primary runoff the first any other day or the week after the nth Tuesday in June (or the nth other day or the week after the first Tuesday in June).  To have that property, a day based off a day in another month would have to be based off a Friday in January, a Monday (like Election Day) in February or March, a Thursday in April, a Saturday in May (would work well for Louisiana, except for how early it is for a state where it's jungle primary can be the only election for a given office), a Thursday in July, a Sunday in August, a Wednesday in September, a Friday in October, a Monday in November (for some general election runoff from here on out), a Wednesday in December (Louisiana's runoff for congressional elections is on the first Saturday after the first Wednesday in December, always five weeks after Election Day when it's congressional jungle primaries are held), or a Saturday in the following January (Georgia's general election runoff is by law I guess 9 weeks after Election Day, but that will always be the first Tuesday after the first Saturday in January).

Georgia has that same 9-week gap between it's primary and primary runoff.  It's primary is always 24 weeks before Election Day (the first/third Tuesday after the third/first Saturday in May, or simply the last Tuesday in May, it turns out (that's being based off the first Tuesday in June)), and it's general election is the 15 weeks before Election Day (the first/third Tuesday after the third/first Thursday in July).  Texas has a 12-week gap, this year at least, although I'm not sure if that's a constant or not.  North Carolina (this year at least) and South Dakota each have a 10-week gap, although the 35% a candidate needs to get to avoid a runoff in South Dakota is even lower than North Carolina's 40%.  The wording here suggests that South Dakota's runoff provisions only extend to primaries for Governor and both houses of Congress, and South Dakota doesn't seem to have the political culture (or the multiple congressional districts) that would lead to a primary winner's vote percentage for one of these races to fall below the 35% threshold often.  Oklahoma has the same 9-week gap as Georgia (this year at least), although without Georgia's provision for a general election runoff.  Alabama has a six-week gap (this year at least), while Mississippi has the same the same three-week gap as Arkansas, and as Mississippi has both its primary and (primary) runoff elections in June I imagine there's the same gap election year to election year.  I had calculated an average but then I remembered that some of these states don't have Gubernatorial elections this year (and I had forgotten South Dakota at that point), so I gave up on that.

[Kevinstat]

A link to the current page of the equivalent thread on the Congressional Elections board: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=188581.200

[Tender Branson]

May 20 primary results:

AR

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/AR_Page_0520.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

GA

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/GA_Page_0520.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

ID:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/ID_Page_0520.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

KY:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/KY_Page_0520.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

OR:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/OR_Page_0520.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

PA:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/PA_Page_0520.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

[Chunk Yogurt for President!]

First person in my precinct to vote, I beat all the old people.

[Adam Griffin]

Fun fact: my family made up 20% of early voters in one precinct.

[Tender Branson]

My predictions:

ID: 82% Otter, 8% Brown, 7% Fulcher, 3% Bayes

OR: Richardson wins with 56%

PA: 43% Wolf, 30% Schwartz, 16% McCord, 11% McGinty

[Maxwell]

I'm gonna go out on a limb for the Idaho Gubernatorial election:

Idaho - 53% Otter, 40% Fulcher, 4% Brown, 3% Bayes

During Otter's last primary, he only survived by 27 (I know, right), and it seems like the challenges to him are only getting more serious.

[ElectionsGuy]

It'll be interesting to see who replaces Kingston, Broun, and Gingrey.

[ElectionsGuy]

Mike Ross vs. Asa Hutchison for Arkansas Governor. No surprise.

[Miles]

Wolf is getting over 50% in Philadelphia with the first results.

[Maxwell]

Politico calls it for Wolf. He leads Schwartz 55-22.

[Miles]

Ugh, even with the west out, I don't see how Critz comes back from trailing 48-17 with 65% in

[Miles]

PA-LG called for Stack.