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Source: Roanoke College (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RGeorge F. AllenRepublican47%piePoll Date: 2012-10-26
DTim Kaine^Democratic42%Number Polled: 638
-Other-0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-10%Voter Type: Likely

  ^ = Incumbent Party (Current Senator Retiring)

Allen with Lead in Virginia

 By: leip (--MA) on 2012-10-31 @ 10:34:19

Question:
If the election for United States Senate were held today would you vote for [ROTATED]
George Allen, the Republican 47%
Tim Kaine, the Democrat 42%
Uncertain 10%
No answer/won’t vote 1%

About this Poll
Interviewing for The Roanoke College Poll was conducted by The Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College in Salem, Va., between Oct. 23 and Oct. 26, 2012. A total of 638 likely voters in Virginia were interviewed. The sample of land lines and cell phones was prepared by Survey Sampling Inc. of Fairfield, Conn., and was created so that all cell phone and residential telephone numbers, including unlisted numbers, had a known chance of inclusion. Cell phones constituted 27 percent of the completed interviews.

Questions answered by the entire sample of 638 likely voters are subject to a sampling error of plus or minus approximately 4 percent at the 95 percent level of confidence. This means that in 95 out of 100 samples like the one used here, the results obtained should be no more than 4 percentage points above or below the figure that would be obtained by interviewing all Virginia likely voters who have a home telephone or a cell phone. Where the results of subgroups are reported, the sampling error is higher.

Quotas were used to ensure that different regions of the Commonwealth were proportionately represented. The data were statistically weighted for gender, race, and age.

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