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Source: Ipsos (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DTim Kaine^Democratic48%piePoll Date: 2012-11-05
RGeorge F. AllenRepublican45%Number Polled: 828
-Other-1%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-5%Voter Type: Likely

  ^ = Incumbent Party (Current Senator Retiring)

Kaine with Slight Lead in Virginia

 By: leip (--MA) on 2012-11-05 @ 22:31:32

Question:
If the election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were [ROTATE] Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican George Allen [END ROTATE], for whom would you vote? [IF ‘NONE/OTHER/DON’T KNOW/REFUSED’ AT Q2] Q3. Do you lean more towards were [ROTATE] Democratic candidate Tim Kaine or Republican candidate George Allen [END ROTATE]?

About this Poll
These are findings from Ipsos polling conducted for Thomson Reuters from Nov. 3-5, 2012. A sample of 1,111 American Registered Voters (RVs) and 828 Likely Voters (LVs), age 18 and over in Virginia was interviewed online. Data below has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points for RVs and 3.9 for LVs. The data are weighted to each state’s current population voter data by gender, age, education, ethnicity, and a political values scale. Ipsos’ Likely Voter model (applied to Voting Intention questions only) uses a seven-item summated index, including questions on voter registration, past voting behavior, likelihood of voting in the upcoming election, and interest in following news about the campaign. This index is then transformed by logistic regression into estimated probabilities of voting.

Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding.

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