CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[136or142]

Another blow for Our Revolution in Iowa.

Which one?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Tf is happening in Montana?

[136or142]

Cindy Axne winning handily.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - AL:

U.S. House District 4
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Lee Auman
4,383   59.6%   
Rick Neighbors
2,968   40.4   
7,351 votes, 38% reporting (164 of 427 precincts)

@Badger: If you want sluggish, absolutely-every-check applied projections, then use NYT.  My projections are based on sophisticated analysis of county and district/statewide results, and have been correct on all but 3 occasions over the course of 2016, 2017, and 2018.

There were the 2 recent cases with WV-03 and PA-05. What was the 3rd?

Virginia HD 27, although that was because there was a reporting error that was not fixed for several hours.

[Gass3268]

Better hope none of these voters are in CA-39 otherwise it's gonna take weeks:

[MT Treasurer]

Tf is happening in Montana?

Nothing, really. Fagg's base/home county (Yellowstone) is always one of the first ones to report results on election night.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - NM:

Auditor
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Brian Colon
39,629   60.7%   
Bill McCamley
25,618   39.3   
65,247 votes, 31% reporting (463 of 1,492 precincts)

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Tf is happening in Montana?

Nothing, really. Fagg’s base/home county (Yellowstone) is always one of the first ones to report its results.

Can the fag still lose?

[YE]

Pete D'Alessandro is doing bad which I don't think is a good look for Bernie in a key early primary state. and I'm not happy with Cathy Glasson losing big. Anyone know anything about Fred Hubbell?

Otherwise, Kim, Van Drew, Haaland, and Heenan are all winning or have won so it's a pretty good night for progressives. 

[Strudelcutie4427]

Come on Senator Fagg!!! This needs to happen 😂😂

[IceSpear]

The Mississippi sacrificial lamb to Roger Wicker contest sure is exciting!

[Gass3268]

New Jersey Republicans are excited to vote, but not like New Jersey Democrats.

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1004183900556546048

[MT Treasurer]

Can the fag still lose?

Obviously. Given how poorly Fagg is doing in the Western part of the state, I’d say he’s still the underdog (though it should be closer than expected, I guess). Also worth noting that Rosendale’s base hasn’t even reported yet.

[ON Progressive]

Can the fag still lose?

Obviously. Given how poorly Fagg is doing in the Western part of the state, I’d say he’s still the underdog (though it should be closer than expected, I guess). Also worth noting that Rosendale’s base hasn’t even reported yet.

Where is Rosendale's base?

[Heisenberg]

Rosendale is doing well in Gallatin County, Downing's home county.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - IA:

Governor
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Fred Hubbell
20,888   56.5%   
Cathy Glasson
6,203   16.8   
John Norris
4,331   11.7   
Nate Boulton
3,206   8.7   
Andy McGuire
1,738   4.7   
Ross Wilburn
593   1.6   
36,959 votes, 7% reporting (114 of 1,677 precincts)

District 4
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Steve King*
1,933   75.0%   
Cyndi Hanson
646   25.0   
2,579 votes, 1% reporting (7 of 489 precincts)

[Heisenberg]

Can the fag still lose?

Obviously. Given how poorly Fagg is doing in the Western part of the state, I’d say he’s still the underdog (though it should be closer than expected, I guess). Also worth noting that Rosendale’s base hasn’t even reported yet.

Where is Rosendale's base?

Dawson and Cascade counties.

[Gass3268]

Democrats are pumped in Johnson County, Iowa (Iowa City):

https://twitter.com/jcauditor/status/1004152122164867072

[Heisenberg]

Rosendale also doing well in Ravalli and Missoula counties, as I expected. Olszewski doing well in Flathead county, but that's his base. Fagg not doing well in the western counties.

[IceSpear]

Come on Senator Fagg!!! This needs to happen 😂😂

We already have Lindsey Graham.

[136or142]

Pete D'Alessandro is doing bad which I don't think is a good look for Bernie in a key early primary state. and I'm not happy with Cathy Glasson losing big. Anyone know anything about Fred Hubbell?

Otherwise, Kim, Van Drew, Haaland, and Heenan are all winning or have won so it's a pretty good night for progressives. 

You probably mean his issue positions, but Hubbell is an insurance executive.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - NJ:

District 2
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Seth Grossman
9,744   40.0%   
Hirsh Singh
7,481   30.7   
Sam Fiocchi
5,406   22.2   
Robert Turkavage
1,742   7.1   
24,373 votes, 90% reporting (472 of 523 precincts)

[Adam Griffin]

It's going to be funny if Maddox gets a higher vote share than Ivey in the primary...Ivey has been dropping for a while now (currently 57.5%).

Getting close:

[136or142]

Kathleen Williams has pulled into a narrow lead.

[henster]

Bernie has lost his magic he came personally to campaign for Pete.