Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Hawaii
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  Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Hawaii		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Rate Hawaii and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Clinton		  
#9
Trump		  
#10
Other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 125

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Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Hawaii  (Read 1935 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: July 23, 2016, 11:00:21 AM »
Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

Note: If you think Johnson/Other will win a state, just vote 'Other' and don't vote for a rating.

Update/vote in these threads if you haven't already! There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall result: Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia

Ratings



Safe Clinton: 68
Likely Clinton: 0
Lean Clinton: 9
Toss-Up: 29
Lean Trump: 27
Likely Trump: 3
Safe Trump: 15

Clinton: 77
Trump: 45
Toss-Up: 29

Predictions



Clinton: 106
Trump: 45

Hawaii: Safe D, 65-32 Clinton.
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
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« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2016, 11:03:41 AM »
Safe D
Clinton 75-22-3
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2016, 11:04:50 AM »
69-27-4 Clinton. Safe D.
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dspNY
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« Reply #3 on: July 23, 2016, 11:05:09 AM »
Safe D

Hillary 65
The Donald 32
Others 3
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: July 23, 2016, 11:05:28 AM »
Safe D, Clinton wins 66-32.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #5 on: July 23, 2016, 11:05:51 AM »
Safe D.
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tinman64
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« Reply #6 on: July 23, 2016, 11:25:04 AM »
Safe D.

Clinton 62
Trump 33
Others 5
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President Johnson
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« Reply #7 on: July 23, 2016, 11:25:37 AM »
Safe D.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: July 23, 2016, 11:32:04 AM »
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #9 on: July 23, 2016, 11:48:31 AM »
Safe D.

Clinton: 70
Trump: 23
Johnson: 3
Others: 4
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: July 23, 2016, 11:55:06 AM »
Safe Clinton

70-27-3 (Clinton-Trump-Other)
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Erc
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« Reply #11 on: July 23, 2016, 12:03:24 PM »
It will be interesting to see if the Republican ticket gains here relative to 2008/2012 now that their favorite son is no longer on the ticket.

That said, hard to find a worse GOP nominee for Hawaii than Trump.
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Senator-elect Spark
Spark498
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« Reply #12 on: July 23, 2016, 12:08:30 PM »
Safe D.

71-28-1
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SillyAmerican
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« Reply #13 on: July 23, 2016, 12:46:04 PM »
Very safe D, by over 25 points.
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AGA
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« Reply #14 on: July 23, 2016, 01:33:13 PM »
Safe D

Clinton: 68%
Trump: 29%
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #15 on: July 23, 2016, 01:34:26 PM »
Clinton 67-29.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #16 on: July 23, 2016, 01:56:38 PM »
Safe D, but Clinton won't do as well as Obama for obvious reasons. I expect third party levels to be somewhat on the low side though. Maybe 5% total between Stein and Johnson.
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Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy
Alex
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« Reply #17 on: July 25, 2016, 02:11:21 AM »
safe D - Clinton

(sane, not a moron)
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #18 on: July 25, 2016, 08:40:28 AM »
Safe D.

✓Clinton: 72.9%
Trump: 25.7%
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #19 on: July 25, 2016, 10:07:10 AM »
Safe D.  Clinton gets high-60s, maybe breaks 70%.

Hawaii doesn't have much of a history of third party voting, but the politics of the state might make it fertile ground for Jill Stein.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #20 on: July 25, 2016, 10:41:49 AM »
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sentinel
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« Reply #21 on: July 25, 2016, 10:47:00 AM »
Whoever voted for Trump on this thread is on some pretty strong drugs
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Redban
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« Reply #22 on: July 25, 2016, 10:56:42 AM »
Lest we forget, Bush in 2004 wasn't so far behind Kerry in Hawaii; Dick Cheney even made a campaign stop here. If it were worth more than 4 electoral votes, Hawaii would have seen major activity that year. Hence, it's reasonable to think that Hawaii can flip with the right conditions and the right candidate.

Unfortunately, Trump isn't the right candidate; and now isn't the right time, with Obama's good approval ratings.

Still --- Don't sleep on Hawaii in the next election cycles.

Cheney in Hawaii:
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Nyvin
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« Reply #23 on: July 25, 2016, 11:06:36 AM »
Quote from: Redban on July 25, 2016, 10:56:42 AM
Lest we forget, Bush in 2004 wasn't so far behind Kerry in Hawaii; Dick Cheney even made a campaign stop here. If it were worth more than 4 electoral votes, Hawaii would have seen major activity that year. Hence, it's reasonable to think that Hawaii can flip with the right conditions and the right candidate.

Unfortunately, Trump isn't the right candidate; and now isn't the right time, with Obama's good approval ratings.

Still --- Don't sleep on Hawaii in the next election cycles.

Cheney in Hawaii:


Hawaii is one of the least white states in the nation and 2004 was before the GOP fell off a cliff with minorities (and it doesn't seem to be getting any better, probably worse honestly).    The state GOP party in Hawaii is almost non-existent at this point as well (1 state senator out of 25).

Granted Obama's numbers are probably inflated due to his birth there (yes, his birth in Hawaii),  but I wouldn't expect the Democratic Candidate to fall below the 60% range anytime soon.
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Breton Racer
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« Reply #24 on: August 08, 2016, 01:41:26 AM »
Most Democratic state in the nation.

☑️Clinton/Kaine- 70%

✖️Trump/Pence- 19%

Other- 11%
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