ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are

[Former Kentuckian]

Why is she called "Heidi" anyway ?

Her real name is Mary Kathryn Heitkamp.

Is there any particular reason for Heidi ? Does she love Swiss/Austrian alpine meadows or cows ?



(Btw, the guy in the background is Kevin Cramer ...)

Heidi is a grade school nickname: http://www.grandforksherald.com/news/2185317-working-class-roots-large-family-shaped-future-senator

[Antonio the Sixth]

Also, "Heidi Heitkamp" has added alliterative appeal to it.

[GeorgiaModerate]

When I read "Heidi Heitkamp", it always reminds me of the "Nighty Nitecaps" theme song from the old Herb Jepko Nitecaps radio show (one of the earliest late-night radio call-in shows, broadcast on a number of clear-channel AM stations). 

http://www.nitecaps.net/Audio/The%20Official%20Nitecap%20Song.MP3

[Bumaye]

If this poll from Marist is for ND, I think they have Heidi up by 4 even though I think she loses by 5 points or so.

Not a single incumbent lost in the last 5 wave years for the winning party and you think she'll lose by 5? By 1 or 2 maybe but 5? I seriously don't see that happening.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Incredible how Americans pronounce "Heidi Heitkamp" ...

Just watched one of her ads and you guys pronounce it "Hey-dee Heyd-kemp" instead of "High-dee Hight-kump" ?

I say "High-dee Heyd-kemp", so I guess its like a weird merger

"High-dee Height-camp." That's how I say, it at least.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

If this poll from Marist is for ND, I think they have Heidi up by 4 even though I think she loses by 5 points or so.

Not a single incumbent lost in the last 5 wave years for the winning party and you think she'll lose by 5? By 1 or 2 maybe but 5? I seriously don't see that happening.

Ok maybe 3-4.

[Former Kentuckian]

AARP polled North Dakotans over 50:

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Source: https://states.aarp.org/nd-2018-election-poll/

[pbrower2a]

AARP polled North Dakotans over 50:

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Source: https://states.aarp.org/nd-2018-election-poll/

Trump will probably win North Dakota if he stands for re-election, but it will be by a narrower margin than the norm for Republicans. I don't know whether younger North Dakotans will be more D enough to re-elect Heitkamp this year or defeat Trump in 2020 based on this poll... but this will not be an easy R pickup for the Senate.

Republicans will win the single House seat of North Dakota with a current 49-30 edge among voters over 50.

[Zaybay]

AARP polled North Dakotans over 50:

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Source: https://states.aarp.org/nd-2018-election-poll/

ND is not ancestrally D, so I will take this poll as a good sign. But, I will always say, POLLING ONE DEMOGRAPHIC IS ALWAYS BAD!

[Yellowhammer]

Kosmo Kevin Kramer can win Seinfeld fan symphony vote, cancelling retail politicking coattail for Heidi

[2016]

CNN has moved the Race from Toss Up to Lean R.

[windjammer]

It would be great to finally have one poll

[KingSweden]

Polling one demographic group exclusively is so dumb

[Xing]

CNN has moved the Race from Toss Up to Lean R.

Of course ND isn't a Toss-Up but NV is.

[junior chįmp]

Some good news i guess

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[Talleyrand]

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Stick a fork in her... as I've been saying for a while this one needs to be triaged.

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/surprisingly-senate-now-play

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

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Stick a fork in her... as I've been saying for a while this one needs to be triaged.

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/surprisingly-senate-now-play

Even if Heitkamp were clearly down, which she is not, it would not make sense to triage her because it is dirt cheap to campaign in North Dakota.

[IceSpear]

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Stick a fork in her... as I've been saying for a while this one needs to be triaged.

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/surprisingly-senate-now-play

Yeah...Republicans, all the pundits, and probably you said the "race was over" in 2012 too. How did that work again?

And literally nobody was saying Rick Berg was a bad candidate until the retrospective #analysis. Gotta love revisionist history.

[windjammer]

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Stick a fork in her... as I've been saying for a while this one needs to be triaged.

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/surprisingly-senate-now-play

Why triaging a race in a cheap state like North Dakota?

[IceSpear]

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Stick a fork in her... as I've been saying for a while this one needs to be triaged.

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/surprisingly-senate-now-play

Yeah...Republicans, all the pundits, and probably you said the "race was over" in 2012 too. How did that work again?

And literally nobody was saying Rick Berg was a bad candidate until the retrospective #analysis. Gotta love revisionist history.

She may just win at the end of the day but I am not overly optimistic. Considering how poorly she is doing despite being well regarded and in a Republican midterm.... it is making me wonder how West Virginia and Montana Senate will end up.

Universally rural areas have been souring on Democrats even in this climate with a few exceptions (downstate IL, western wisconsin, rural Minnesota).

Astrology has Heitkamp winning but I am dumping any use of astrology in predicting these elections as logically I do not see Heitkamp winning at this point.

I'm not optimistic either, in fact I think she'll lose, but you'd think people would be a bit more cautious after all the egg every single analyst, "expert", pollster, and pundit (both professional and amateur, including myself) got on their face after 2012.

[Bidenworth2020]

watch all the pundits move it back once another random poll has Heidi up 12, lol

[IceSpear]

watch all the pundits move it back once another random poll has Heidi up 12, lol

[Politician]

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Stick a fork in her... as I've been saying for a while this one needs to be triaged.

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/surprisingly-senate-now-play

Senator Rick Berg agrees with this message.

[MycroftCZ]

Who else misses January, when it was Heitkamp vs. Tom Campbell, she was incredibly popular, and the race was Lean D?

[Progressive Pessimist]

Who else misses January, when it was Heitkamp vs. Tom Campbell, she was incredibly popular, and the race was Lean D?

There are a lot of points in time that I miss for both political and nonpolitical reasons. If I had it my way every year would be 2012. That was probably the last time I was feeling the least amount of existential dread or ennui.