WV-SEN 2018: Haunted Manchin

[OBD]

Pretty bold thing to say with confidence

http://wvmetronews.com/2018/10/30/analyst-manchin-likely-to-win-us-senate-contest/

It's really not. You are the only person on this site to think Republicans can win this. Even many of the R hacks think this race is out of reach.

Seriously, why is Bagel so weirdly delusional about the state of this race? Manchin has been leading by double digits for a while.

When Manchin wins he'll be super happy?

[IceSpear]

Bagel, do you think this ad might seal Manchin/Ojeda's fate?

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1057728445386539008

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Bagel, do you think this ad might seal Manchin/Ojeda's fate?

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1057728445386539008

I think Ojeda's fate is sealed already, but I still think Manchin has a fighting chance. Now I think Morrisey will win in the end, but I still think Manchin has a path to victory, so I would not call his fate sealed quite yet.

[IceSpear]

Bagel, do you think this ad might seal Manchin/Ojeda's fate?

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1057728445386539008

I think Ojeda's fate is sealed already, but I still think Manchin has a fighting chance. Now I think Morrisey will win in the end, but I still think Manchin has a path to victory, so I would not call his fate sealed quite yet.

But do you think the ad could convince people to vote for Fat Pat for the sake of stopping the anti-white hate group (i.e. the Democratic Party?)

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Bagel, do you think this ad might seal Manchin/Ojeda's fate?

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1057728445386539008

I think Ojeda's fate is sealed already, but I still think Manchin has a fighting chance. Now I think Morrisey will win in the end, but I still think Manchin has a path to victory, so I would not call his fate sealed quite yet.

But do you think the ad could convince people to vote for Fat Pat for the sake of stopping the anti-white hate group (i.e. the Democratic Party?)

No doubt. Anything that Trump puts the seal of approval on will help Morrisey.

[Woody]

Pretty bold thing to say with confidence

http://wvmetronews.com/2018/10/30/analyst-manchin-likely-to-win-us-senate-contest/

It's really not. You are the only person on this site to think Republicans can win this. Even many of the R hacks think this race is out of reach.

This race has been tightening. I also think that Morrisey will win due to Trump's intervention, however it will still be close.

[ON Progressive]

https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/1058105702906920961

I was told this is a tossup though.

[wbrocks67]

Even as the polls have "tightened", they are still Manchin +5. Morrissey has not led a single legit poll. So the takes of him randomly pulling out a win are... dubious at best

[Calthrina950]

Even as the polls have "tightened", they are still Manchin +5. Morrissey has not led a single legit poll. So the takes of him randomly pulling out a win are... dubious at best

I agree. And Morrisey has generally been stuck in the upper thirties to low forties throughout the year, meaning that a low double-digit victory for Manchin is still possible.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Opinion of IceSpear's trolling:

Approve: 29%
Disapprove: 71%

Opinion of Bagel's trolling:

Approve: 12%
Disapprove: 88%

The senate race itself was not polled.

Link

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

And you told me to not post fake polls

[Virginiá]

Wulfric jokes aside, the level of sarcasm on this board has been getting kind of annoying. It's always nice to poke fun at stupidity and common (non)sense sometimes but I feel like it gets overdone here now - at least for the past few months or so.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

unfortunately they aren't trolling, they actually believe this.

[Skunk]

Did this poll ask voters what they thought of #populists though?

[wbrocks67]

Wulfric jokes aside, the level of sarcasm on this board has been getting kind of annoying. It's always nice to poke fun at stupidity and common (non)sense sometimes but I feel like it gets overdone here now - at least for the past few months or so.

Posts like this OP shouldn't even be allowed. They're not funny

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

It's more funny than the sort of posts it's mocking and that Virginia is referring to.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The GOP has given up on unseating Manchin-

https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/1058105702906920961

[Xing]

An AtlasMatters internal just released finds that voters do not care what US Election Atlas voters say about Joe Manchin's chances in the West Virginia Senate race by a margin 92%. 93% reported not caring, 1% reported caring, and the remaining 6% were unsure or refused to answer. Polling questions were as follows:

1. Does it matter to you that two US Election Atlas posters believe that Joe Manchin will lose the West Virginia Senate race?

Yes - 1%
No - 93%
Unsure/Refused - 6%

2. Really? Renowned political scientist and US Election Atlas user Wulfric does care, and even made a thread about it. Does this change your opinion?

Yes - 0%
No - 95%
Unsure/Refused - 5%

3. Do you find US Election Atlas to be an important part of your daily life?

Yes - 4%
No - 89%
Unsure/Refused - 7%

4. Do posts on US Election Atlas influence your political views?
Yes - 1%
No - 94%
Unsure/Refused 5%

5. Do the views of smug elitist US Election Atlas user IceSpear make you more or less likely to vote Republican?
More Likely - 0%
Less Likely - 1%
Makes No Difference - 98%
Unsure/Refused - 1%

6. Does a US Election Atlas user referring to people from West Virginia as #populists make you feel proud or angry?
Proud - 1%
Angry - 1%
No Effect - 96%
Unsure/Refused - 2%

[wbrocks67]

The GOP has given up on unseating Manchin-

https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/1058105702906920961

but Atlas was just telling me 5 minutes ago that Morrissey was closing in

[Gone to Carolina]

The GOP has given up on unseating Manchin-

https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/1058105702906920961

Clearly Safe R, why else would they be withdrawing money from WV??? /s

[IceSpear]

unfortunately they aren't trolling, they actually believe this.

Like how you guys actually believed Heidi Heitkamp, Phil Bredesen, and Beto O'Rourke would win?

[IceSpear]

https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/1058105702906920961

I was told this is a tossup though.

Well, if we're taking this random article as gospel, then I guess MN-Special is a toss up instead. RIP Tina Smith.

[Skye]

Wulfric jokes aside, the level of sarcasm on this board has been getting kind of annoying. It's always nice to poke fun at stupidity and common (non)sense sometimes but I feel like it gets overdone here now - at least for the past few months or so.

It's incredibly annoying to find them in every thread. Especially since the election hasn't even happened and no one knows the results.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

unfortunately they aren't trolling, they actually believe this.

Like how you guys actually believed Heidi Heitkamp, Phil Bredesen, and Beto O'Rourke would win?

You do realize, IceSpear, that if Manchin wins, people will go through your post history and have a field day quoting about 100 different posts from you. (I will create the thread for this as soon as the race is called, provided Atlas hasn't crashed)

[IceSpear]

You do realize, IceSpear, that if Manchin wins, people will go through your post history and have a field day quoting about 100 different posts from you. (I will create the thread for this as soon as the race is called, provided Atlas hasn't crashed)

I'm sure Rep. Rich Lazer and Rep. Kevin Abel will love that thread.

Anyway, I never even said Manchin was guaranteed to lose. Not in the past year anyway.