CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

If Cathy Myers won, or kept it in too close to call territory, I was going to switch to an S-MD avatar in protest.

[Gass3268]

Just some comparisons on fully-reported WI counties:

2016 Presidential vs 2018 Primary (margin):
Door: GOP +3 / DEM +10
Fond du Lac: GOP +26 / GOP +36
Walworth: GOP +20 / GOP +18

Door tends to be a bellwether.

[IceSpear]

I disagree, I prefer hofoid. I don't recall him routinely giving predictions that were 10-50 points too Republican friendly then refusing to learn anything from it. Also, unlike Andrew, he at least seems to genuinely believe some of the crap he says.

Things must be worse than I thought if we're at the point where we are discussing which concern trolls are best for Atlas

Is anyone going to make the case for King Lear?

[ON Progressive]

Does Murphy still have a chance?

Zero chance. She needed to win the Twin Cities to have a chance, and Walz has won the Twin Cities. Murphy is also placing third in most of rural MN.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Does Murphy still have a chance?

Depends on the turnout level in Ramsey.

[libertpaulian]

BUT MUH TREND R MINNESOTA

BUT MUH TITANIUM R WISCONSIN

BUT MUH NEW ENGLAND ROCKEFELLER REPUBLICANS

More bad results for the GOP tonight...and to top it off, a poll actually shows Beto in the lead.  Aaaannnndddd it's only August.

[Adam Griffin]

CT 2016 Presidential vs 2018 Primary (margin):

New London: DEM +7 / DEM +18
Windham: GOP +8 / DEM +10

VT 2016 Presidential vs 2018 Primary (margin):
Essex: GOP +1 / GOP +40

[Sestak]

I feel like Omar is the only real downside of the night. Everything else is great.

[Gass3268]

Evers and Vukmir are both winning Dane County with 83% of the vote in.

County Clerk's Facebook Page

[Jeppe]

Does Murphy still have a chance?

Zero chance. She needed to win the Twin Cities to have a chance, and Walz has won the Twin Cities. Murphy is also placing third in most of rural MN.

Technically, she won the Twin Cities (Minneapolis and St. Paul), she just lost the county of Hennepin by a small margin.

[Dr. Arch]

CT 2016 Presidential vs 2018 Primary (margin):

New London: DEM +7 / DEM +18
Windham: GOP +8 / DEM +10

Wow on Windham.

[libertpaulian]

Per NYT, 43% of the vote is in with only 20 precincts left in WOW.  Dems down by only 10K votes total.  Dane hasn't even reported yet.  Whooosh what a night.

[Adam Griffin]

Evers and Vukmir are both winning Dane County with 83% of the vote in.

County Clerk's Facebook Page

Based on the figures there, Dane alone has 100k Dem primary votes waiting to show up; GOP 20k. That's a 80k vote net gain waiting for Dems statewide.

[MAINEiac4434]

Another progressive maybe-victory: Radinovich is looking very, very good in MN-08.

[morgieb]

Evers and Vukmir are both winning Dane County with 83% of the vote in.

County Clerk's Facebook Page

[Hoosier]

Minnesota D-GOV could end up being a cool map if Swanson pretty much sweeps the northern counties and Walz continues to dominate down South with Ramsey being the only Murphy county.

[junior chįmp]

Per NYT, 43% of the vote is in with only 20 precincts left in WOW.  Dems down by only 10K votes total.  Dane hasn't even reported yet.  Whooosh what a night.

mmmm...that Walker concession speech is only 2 & 1/2 months away

[morgieb]

Another progressive maybe-victory: Radinovich is looking very, very good in MN-08.

Excellent result tactically. A good candidate that isn't a radical environmentalist should be all it takes to hold the seat, which Radinovich is. Hell even in 2014 we still did well downballot in MN-08.

[Adam Griffin]

Evers and Vukmir are both winning Dane County with 83% of the vote in.

County Clerk's Facebook Page

Based on the figures there, Dane alone has 100k Dem primary votes waiting to show up; GOP 20k. That's a 80k vote net gain waiting for Dems statewide.

Here are the figures, BTW:

87% Reporting (Dane):

16858 GOP
83743 DEM

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Does Murphy still have a chance?

He's the incumbent Senator and he's unopposed in tonight's primary so I would think so.

[Adam Griffin]

MN 2016 Presidential vs 2018 Primary (margin):

Rock: GOP +36 / GOP +16
Koochiching: GOP +20 / DEM +18

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - MN:

Governor

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Tim Walz
138,258   41.6%   
Erin Murphy
115,681   34.8   
Lori Swanson
73,249   22.0   
Tim Holden
3,304   1.0   
Ole Savior
2,248   0.7   
332,740 votes, 41% reporting (1,703 of 4,112 precincts)

[Adam Griffin]

Dane at 93%; here are the Secretary of State & Treasurer results for both primaries (decent amount of drop-off from top-ticket races):

DEM: 80,981
GOP: 14,144

[Gass3268]

Dane County was finally added to the NYT results.

[junior chįmp]

Dane county just came through and it looks like Walker is 100% finished