2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please
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  2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please  (Read 144908 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #875 on: August 22, 2018, 09:37:19 AM »

Rasmussen polls what they consider to be likely voters.  It would be very interesting to see the criteria for their likely voter screen.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #876 on: August 22, 2018, 09:47:02 AM »

Rasmussen polls what they consider to be likely voters.  It would be very interesting to see the criteria for their likely voter screen.
Thats a key idea that I fear is not being picked up in polling. Likely voters usually consist of older, more educated voters. The problem is if more non-voters, or uncommon voters show up then we could be seeing a larger wave than previously thought.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #877 on: August 22, 2018, 11:35:00 AM »

Morning Consult/Politico, Aug. 16-18, 1974 registered voters

D: 45 (+3)
R: 36 (-2)
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #878 on: August 22, 2018, 11:39:30 AM »

I see Virginia let LameLiberal out of his cage again.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #879 on: August 22, 2018, 11:49:07 AM »

YouGov, Aug. 19-21, 1500 adults including 1247 registered voters

D: 44 (nc)
R: 38 (-2)
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #880 on: August 22, 2018, 12:09:30 PM »

A new WI poll from Marquette (Sen, Gov) will be released any minute ...

https://law-media.marquette.edu/Mediasite/Play/95515b5553e14cec848a739c661412b41d

https://twitter.com/mulawpoll
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #881 on: August 22, 2018, 03:40:41 PM »

NBC/Marist TX Poll incoming at 5pm ET

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/1032357204672892928
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Zaybay
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« Reply #882 on: August 22, 2018, 03:46:16 PM »

Whoopie, another TX senate poll. We havent gotten one of those in...a week?

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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #883 on: August 22, 2018, 05:20:42 PM »

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KingSweden
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« Reply #884 on: August 22, 2018, 05:28:11 PM »


Pretty stable
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IceSpear
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« Reply #885 on: August 22, 2018, 05:30:42 PM »

Looks like a red wave to me.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #886 on: August 22, 2018, 05:39:07 PM »

Link to the Fox poll: https://www.scribd.com/document/386839782/Fox-August-2018-Naitonal-Topline-August-22-Release (note typo "Naitonal" in the URL; it's also that way on the page)
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Gass3268
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« Reply #887 on: August 22, 2018, 05:52:15 PM »
« Edited: August 22, 2018, 05:57:49 PM by Gass3268 »

If November's election for Congress were held today, which party's candidate are you more
likely to vote for in your district (Democratic-Republican):

Texas: 43-46
East: 26-68
Dallas/Ft. Worth Area: 43-46
Houston Area: 50-37
South Central: 44-41
West: 31-51
Latino Southwest: 54-38

Source
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #888 on: August 22, 2018, 05:54:01 PM »
« Edited: August 22, 2018, 06:04:57 PM by PittsburghSteel »

Fox News Crosstabs-

The Democrats have a +4 favorable rating

The Republicans have a -17 favorable rating
__________________________________________________

Women: D+19

Men: TIE
____________________________

Obamacare has +7 support

GOP Tax Cut law has -1 support

____________________________


MISC-

John McCain has a +15 favorable rating
  - +31 with Democrats
  - -4 with Republicans

Mueller's investigation has +22 support
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #889 on: August 22, 2018, 05:54:59 PM »

If November's election for Congress were held today, which party's candidate are you more
likely to vote for in your district (Republican-Democratic):

Texas: 43-46
East: 26-68
Dallas/Ft. Worth Area: 43-46
Houston Area: 50-37
South Central: 44-41
West: 31-51
Latino Southwest: 54-38

Source

Do you mean Democratic-Republican? Would make more sense.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #890 on: August 22, 2018, 05:58:00 PM »

If November's election for Congress were held today, which party's candidate are you more
likely to vote for in your district (Republican-Democratic):

Texas: 43-46
East: 26-68
Dallas/Ft. Worth Area: 43-46
Houston Area: 50-37
South Central: 44-41
West: 31-51
Latino Southwest: 54-38

Source

Do you mean Democratic-Republican? Would make more sense.

Yes, thank you
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #891 on: August 22, 2018, 06:27:25 PM »

Nobody in Twitterverse or this forum was talking about these numbers buried in the Fox News poll-

Democratic Party-

Favorable: 50%  (+4)
Unfavorable: 46%

Republican Party-

Favorable: 39%
Unfavorable: 56%  (-17)

Link: https://www.scribd.com/document/386839782/Fox-August-2018-Naitonal-Topline-August-22-Release
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Statilius the Epicurean
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« Reply #892 on: August 22, 2018, 06:29:09 PM »

It's funny how Fox are one of the more reliable pollsters.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #893 on: August 22, 2018, 06:38:11 PM »

Nobody in Twitterverse or this forum was talking about these numbers buried in the Fox News poll-

Democratic Party-

Favorable: 50%  (+4)
Unfavorable: 46%

Republican Party-

Favorable: 39%
Unfavorable: 56%  (-17)

Link: https://www.scribd.com/document/386839782/Fox-August-2018-Naitonal-Topline-August-22-Release

Where are the "red wave" posters?
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Zaybay
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« Reply #894 on: August 22, 2018, 06:53:43 PM »

That is genuinely shocking
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #895 on: August 22, 2018, 06:57:46 PM »

Nobody in Twitterverse or this forum was talking about these numbers buried in the Fox News poll-

Democratic Party-

Favorable: 50%  (+4)
Unfavorable: 46%

Republican Party-

Favorable: 39%
Unfavorable: 56%  (-17)

Link: https://www.scribd.com/document/386839782/Fox-August-2018-Naitonal-Topline-August-22-Release

Where are the "red wave" posters?


Trump has a 12% approval among Hillary voters and democrats. This crossover support will be devastating for dem chances
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #896 on: August 22, 2018, 07:15:18 PM »

Trump has a 12% approval among Hillary voters and democrats. This crossover support will be devastating for dem chances

With these numbers, Democrats will only gain 10-20 House seats max and will net lose 1+ senate seat(s). The #Walkaway movement is gaining steam.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #897 on: August 22, 2018, 07:20:25 PM »

The only Walk Away movement that exist is that of people leaving the Republican Party for tolerating the degenerate pig.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #898 on: August 22, 2018, 07:23:29 PM »

The only Walk Away movement that exist is that of people leaving the Republican Party for tolerating the degenerate pig.

Timmy and I both #WalkedAway
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #899 on: August 22, 2018, 07:25:05 PM »

The only Walk Away movement that exist is that of people leaving the Republican Party for tolerating the degenerate pig.

Timmy and I both #WalkedAway

Ben Shapiro is my spirit animal.
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