PredictionsMock2020 Presidential Election Polls - TX Polls
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Source: University of Texas (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RTrumpRepublican45%piePoll Date: 2019-11-14
DDem CandDemocratic39%Number Polled: 1,093
IInd CandIndependent0%Margin of Error: 3%
-Other-0%Voter Type: Registered

Trump +5 in Texas

 By: IndyRep (R-MT) on 2019-11-18 @ 10:57:47

Pdf linked.

About this Poll
The UT Tyler-Texas Opinion Survey reflects a statewide random sample of 1,093 registered voters during the ten days between November 5 and November 14. The mixed mode sample includes 397 registered voters who took the survey by phone and 696 registered voters that were randomly selected from a panel of registered voters that have opted-in to take surveys through a company called Dynata. The online and phone surveys were conducted in English and Spanish.

The data were weighted to be representative of the Texas register voter population. Iterative weighting was used to balance sample demographics to the state population parameters. The sample is balanced to match parameters for gender, age, race/ethnicity, and education using an iterated process known as raking. These parameters were derived from 2018 Current Population Survey to reflect Texas’s electorate. The use of these weights in statistical analysis ensures that the characteristics of the sample closely reflect the characteristics of registered voters in Texas.

In this poll, the sampling error for 1,093 registered voters in Texas is +/- 2.96 percentage points at a 95 percent confidence interval. The survey’s design asked additional questions to 427 registered voters who identify with the Democratic Party as members or independents that lean towards the party (margin of error of +/- 4.7%)

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