PredictionsMock2020 Presidential Democratic Primary Polls - CA ResultsPolls
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California Polls (Aggregate = Strong Sanders for 3-poll average)

Candidate Avg. #Wins Delegates Poll Graph Election Details
Sanders 35% 3 194pie
Election Date: 2020-03-03
Election Type: Primary
Eligable Voters: Modified Open
Delegates Total: 495
Delegates Awarded: 416
Apportion Method: P15%
Biden 24% 0 134
Warren 16% 0 88
Bloomberg 14% 0 0
Buttigieg 5% 0 0
Other 4% 0 0
-Undecided 2% 0 0

 Three-Poll Rolling Average
 Rolling Average Poll Graph

 Delegates Awarded Prior to this Contest: 155 (3.3%)

 Projected Delegate Allocation Prior to this Contest:
Prior Delegate Allocation Graph

DatePoll SourceLeadWB S B B K OthUnd MOE Sample#C
03-02Data 4 ProgressS+716%25%32%5%17%3%0%2%4%516 L
03-02Other SourceS+815%26%34%3%15%1%2%4%3%727 L
03-01Emerson CollegeS+1716%21%38%7%11%5%2%0%4%545 L
02-29YouGovS+1218%19%31%9%12%4%4%3%4%1,411 L
02-28YouGovS+718%19%26%9%13%6%9%0%4%1,020 L
02-25Berkeley IGSS+1717%8%34%11%12%6%5%7%2%6,688 L
02-25University of S. CaliforniaS+1717%8%34%11%12%6%0%12%2%3,002 L
02-23 Change ResearchS+1720%12%37%11%6%5%7%2%3%1,069 L
02-20UMass LowellS+816%13%24%12%12%7%10%6%7%450 L
02-19Monmouth UniversityS+710%17%24%9%13%4%10%13%5%408 L
02-17Public Policy Institute of CAS+1813%14%32%12%12%5%4%8%6%568 L
02-17Survey USAS+49%15%25%12%21%6%0%12%5%500 L
02-15University of S. CaliforniaS+820%21%29%6%8%3%4%9%4%850 L
02-09Other SourceS+1316%11%29%14%13%5%9%3%4%843 L
01-27 Change ResearchS+1416%15%30%8%4%3%11%13%3%1,967 L
01-21Berkeley IGSS+620%15%26%7%6%5%6%15%3%2,895 L
01-16Survey USAB+1020%30%20%8%6%2%10%4%5%565 L
01-12Public Policy Institute of CAS+323%24%27%6%1%4%3%12%7%530 L
01-10University of S. CaliforniaS+412%24%28%8%6%2%8%12%2%2,000 L
01-09Other SourceS+321%20%24%11%6%5%13%0%4%1,053 L
11-27Berkeley IGSS+222%14%24%12%2%3%14%9%4%1,694 L
11-12Public Policy Institute of CAB+123%24%17%7%0%1%19%9%5%682 L
10-18 Change ResearchW+428%19%24%9%0%2%18%0%2%2,605 L9
10-15Survey USAB+1518%33%17%4%0%1%19%8%7%533 L16
09-25Public Policy Institute of CAW+123%22%21%6%0%0%19%9%5%692 L10
09-18Other SourceW+929%20%19%6%0%2%16%8%3%2,272 L17
09-16Emerson CollegeTie20%26%26%4%0%0%24%0%5%424 L
09-15 Change ResearchW+225%18%23%10%0%1%23%0%2%3,325 L
08-05Survey USAB+421%25%18%6%0%0%20%10%6%528 L
07-15Quinnipiac UniversityH+216%21%18%3%0%0%32%10%6%519 L


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