Election 2024 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections

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Biden - Trump

Compilation: Average of the most recent three polls. Slight requires that the same candidate wins all three.

		270 \|	538 \|
Biden	209
Trump	297
Ind	0
Tos	32

State Pick-ups

	Gain		Loss		Hold		Toss
	ST	EV	ST	EV	ST	EV	ST	EV
Biden	0	0	-5	-62	18	209	3	32
Trump	+5	+62	0	0	25	235	0	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Polls Aggregate History

Closest States - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State	Spread	Trump	Biden	Kennedy	Und	WinD	WinR	WinI	Ties	Inc	Status
ME	R +2	40%	38%	10%	12%	1	2	0	0	D - I	Tossup
VA	D +2	43%	45%	0%	11%	2	0	0	1	D - I	Tossup
MN	D +3	41%	44%	0%	8%	3	0	0	0	D - I	Slight Democratic
PA	R +3	47%	44%	2%	7%	0	3	0	0	D - I	Slight Republican
GA	R +5	46%	41%	4%	7%	0	3	0	0	D - I	Lean Republican
MI	R +5	46%	41%	5%	7%	1	2	0	0	D - I	Lean Republican
NH	D +5	38%	43%	5%	11%	3	0	0	0	D - I	Lean Democratic
NC	R +5	45%	40%	5%	7%	0	3	0	0	R - I	Lean Republican

Predicted Pick-ups - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State	Spread	Trump	Biden	Kennedy	Und	WinD	WinR	WinI	Ties	Inc	Status
PA	R +3	47%	44%	2%	7%	0	3	0	0	D - I	Slight Republican
GA	R +5	46%	41%	4%	7%	0	3	0	0	D - I	Lean Republican
AZ	R +6	47%	41%	3%	8%	0	3	0	0	D - I	Lean Republican
WI	R +6	47%	41%	2%	7%	0	3	0	0	D - I	Lean Republican
NV	R +8	47%	38%	5%	8%	0	3	0	0	D - I	Lean Republican

Most Recent State Polls

State	Date	Poll Source	Spread	DT	Dem	Ind	Other	Und	MOE	Sample	#C
WI	04-29	Emerson College	R +5	45%	40%	6%	2%	7%	3%	1,000 L
PA	04-29	Emerson College	R +4	45%	41%	6%	2%	7%	3%	1,000 L
NC	04-29	Emerson College	R +9	46%	37%	6%	2%	9%	3%	1,000 L
NV	04-29	Emerson College	R +5	42%	37%	8%	3%	11%	3%	1,000 L
MI	04-29	Emerson College	R +1	43%	42%	5%	2%	8%	3%	1,000 L
GA	04-29	Emerson College	R +6	45%	39%	5%	3%	8%	3%	1,000 L
AZ	04-29	Emerson College	R +4	44%	40%	9%	2%	6%	3%	1,000 L
WI	04-25	CBS News / YouGov	R +4	48%	44%	0%	8%	0%	3%	1,226 L
PA	04-25	CBS News / YouGov	R +1	50%	49%	0%	1%	0%	3%	1,288 L
MI	04-25	CBS News / YouGov	D +2	43%	45%	9%	3%	0%	3%	1,262 L
WA	04-23	Bullfinch Group	R +5	40%	35%	13%	5%	8%	6%	250 L
OR	04-23	Bullfinch Group	D +11	29%	40%	19%	4%	8%	6%	250 L
HI	04-23	Bullfinch Group	D +8	34%	42%	8%	3%	14%	6%	250 L
CA	04-23	Bullfinch Group	D +20	28%	48%	12%	4%	8%	6%	250 L
AK	04-23	Bullfinch Group	R +23	49%	26%	10%	2%	13%	6%	250 L
TX	04-22	University of Texas	R +9	45%	36%	8%	4%	7%	3%	1,200 R
WY	04-21	Zogby	R +41	67%	26%	0%	0%	7%	7%	249 L
WI	04-21	Kaplan Strategies	R +10	48%	38%	0%	0%	14%	3%	802 L
WI	04-21	Zogby	R +2	48%	46%	0%	0%	6%	4%	518 L
WV	04-21	Zogby	R +32	63%	31%	0%	0%	6%	6%	383 L
WA	04-21	Zogby	D +12	40%	52%	0%	0%	9%	5%	418 L
VA	04-21	Zogby	Tie	45%	45%	0%	0%	10%	5%	586 L
VT	04-21	Zogby	D +21	35%	56%	0%	0%	9%	7%	272 L
UT	04-21	Zogby	R +3	46%	43%	0%	0%	11%	5%	414 L
TX	04-21	Zogby	R +10	50%	40%	0%	0%	11%	4%	743 L
TN	04-21	Zogby	R +24	59%	35%	0%	0%	6%	4%	510 L
SD	04-21	Zogby	R +28	60%	32%	0%	0%	8%	6%	303 L
SC	04-21	Zogby	R +12	52%	40%	0%	0%	7%	4%	501 L
RI	04-21	Zogby	D +5	43%	48%	0%	0%	9%	5%	398 L
PA	04-21	Kaplan Strategies	R +5	46%	41%	0%	0%	13%	3%	802 L
PA	04-21	Zogby	D +5	45%	50%	0%	0%	5%	4%	628 L
OR	04-21	Zogby	D +3	44%	47%	0%	0%	9%	5%	419 L
OK	04-21	Zogby	R +13	53%	40%	0%	0%	7%	6%	391 L
OH	04-21	Zogby	R +10	52%	42%	0%	0%	6%	4%	643 L
ND	04-21	Zogby	R +18	55%	37%	0%	0%	8%	6%	300 L
NC	04-21	Zogby	R +4	49%	45%	0%	0%	6%	4%	641 L
NY	04-21	Zogby	D +6	42%	48%	0%	0%	9%	4%	749 L
NM	04-21	Zogby	D +7	42%	49%	0%	0%	10%	4%	505 L
NJ	04-21	Zogby	D +9	42%	51%	0%	0%	7%	4%	530 L
NH	04-21	Zogby	D +4	44%	48%	0%	0%	8%	4%	515 L
NV	04-21	Zogby	R +6	50%	44%	0%	0%	6%	4%	517 L
NE	04-21	Zogby	R +11	50%	39%	0%	0%	11%	6%	307 L
MT	04-21	Zogby	R +25	59%	34%	0%	0%	8%	6%	301 L
MO	04-21	Zogby	R +6	49%	43%	0%	0%	8%	4%	509 L
MS	04-21	Zogby	R +9	51%	42%	0%	0%	8%	5%	423 L
MN	04-21	Zogby	D +2	44%	46%	0%	0%	10%	5%	417 L
MI	04-21	Kaplan Strategies	R +15	51%	36%	0%	0%	13%	3%	804 L
MI	04-21	Zogby	D +3	45%	48%	0%	0%	7%	4%	640 L
MA	04-21	Zogby	D +19	36%	55%	0%	0%	9%	4%	534 L
MD	04-21	Zogby	D +24	34%	58%	0%	0%	8%	5%	530 L
ME	04-21	Zogby	R +1	46%	45%	0%	0%	9%	6%	350 L
LA	04-21	Zogby	R +15	54%	39%	0%	0%	7%	5%	501 L
KY	04-21	Zogby	R +25	60%	35%	0%	0%	5%	6%	402 L
KS	04-21	Zogby	R +5	49%	44%	0%	0%	7%	6%	410 L
IA	04-21	Zogby	R +2	47%	45%	0%	0%	8%	6%	405 L
IN	04-21	Zogby	R +4	47%	43%	0%	0%	10%	6%	418 L
IL	04-21	Zogby	D +13	40%	53%	0%	0%	7%	4%	643 L
ID	04-21	Zogby	R +29	60%	31%	0%	0%	9%	6%	309 L
HI	04-21	Zogby	D +22	33%	55%	0%	0%	12%	6%	301 L
GA	04-21	Zogby	R +3	47%	44%	0%	0%	9%	4%	635 L

Links

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