Predictions2024 Presidential Election Polls Polls
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Biden - Trump
Election 2024 State Polls Aggregate
Compilation: Average of the most recent three polls. Slight requires that the same candidate wins all three.

2024 Presidential Polls Mapkey

270 |
538 |
Biden195 
 
pie
Trump291 
 
Ind
 
Tos52 
 

State Pick-ups


Gain Loss Hold Toss
ST EV ST EV ST EV ST EV
Biden00-5-5616195552
Trump+5+56002523500
Ind00000000

Polls Aggregate History

polls_graph

Closest States - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State Spread Trump Biden Kennedy Und WinD WinR WinI Ties Inc Status
MND +041%42%4%9%1200D - ITossup
MIR +142%41%5%9%0300D - ITossup
VAD +140%41%9%6%2001D - ITossup
WID +141%42%8%7%1101D - ITossup
PAR +245%43%5%6%0300D - ISlight Republican
AZR +341%38%8%9%0300D - ISlight Republican
MER +342%39%10%6%0300D - ISlight Republican
NHD +338%41%10%10%2001D - ITossup
NVR +442%39%8%7%0300D - ISlight Republican
NCR +545%40%5%8%0300R - ILean Republican

Predicted Pick-ups - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State Spread Trump Biden Kennedy Und WinD WinR WinI Ties Inc Status
PAR +245%43%5%6%0300D - ISlight Republican
AZR +341%38%8%9%0300D - ISlight Republican
MER +342%39%10%6%0300D - ISlight Republican
NVR +442%39%8%7%0300D - ISlight Republican
GAR +644%38%7%8%0300D - ILean Republican

Most Recent State Polls

State Date Poll Source Spread DT Dem Ind Other Und MOE Sample #C
WI 06-18 Emerson CollegeR +244%42%6%1%7%3% 1,000 R
PA 06-18 Emerson CollegeR +345%42%5%1%7%3% 1,000 R
NV 06-18 Emerson CollegeR +342%39%7%3%8%3% 1,000 R
MN 06-18 Emerson CollegeR +142%41%6%2%9%3% 1,000 R
MI 06-18 Emerson CollegeR +244%42%5%2%7%3% 1,000 R
GA 06-18 Emerson CollegeR +845%37%6%2%9%3% 1,000 R
AZ 06-18 Emerson CollegeR +443%39%8%2%8%3% 1,000 R
NY 06-17 Siena Research InstituteD +839%47%5%0%10%4% 805 R
MN 06-16 Survey USAD +641%47%0%6%6%4% 626 L
NM 06-14 Public Policy PollingD +741%48%0%0%11%4% 555 L
IA 06-14 Selzer & CoR +1850%32%9%5%4%4% 632 L
AZ 06-13 RasmussenR +441%37%10%4%7%3% 750 L
VA 06-12 co/efficientTie41%41%7%0%12%3% 851 L
PA 06-11 Redfield & WiltonR +244%42%5%2%7%4% 554 L
NC 06-11 Redfield & WiltonR +343%40%7%2%9%4% 663 L
NC 06-11 SPRY StrategiesR +845%37%8%0%10%4% 600 L 27
MN 06-11 McLaughlin & AssociatesR +441%37%7%5%11%4% 600 L
MI 06-11 Redfield & WiltonR +137%36%8%3%17%4% 776 L
GA 06-11 Redfield & WiltonR +544%39%6%0%10%4% 617 L
FL 06-11 Redfield & WiltonR +643%37%7%3%11%4% 574 L
AZ 06-11 Redfield & WiltonR +240%38%6%1%13%4% 529 L
WI 06-10 J.L. PartnersTie44%44%5%1%6%4% 500 L
TX 06-09 University of TexasR +943%34%8%4%10%3% 1,200 R
FL 06-09 Tyson GroupR +1046%36%0%0%18%3% 1,050 L
FL 06-09 Florida Atlantic UniversityR +545%40%8%2%4%3% 771 L
UT 06-07 Deseret News / Hinckley InstituteR +2949%20%20%0%11%3% 857 R 7
PA 06-06 Marist CollegeR +247%45%5%0%3%4% 1,181 R
OH 06-06 Marist CollegeR +748%41%5%3%4%4% 1,137 R
MN 06-05 Mason-DixonD +441%45%6%0%8%4% 800 R
VA 06-04 Fox NewsD +141%42%9%4%3%3% 1,107 R
NV 06-04 Fox NewsR +545%40%7%5%3%3% 1,069 R
FL 06-04 Fox NewsR +747%40%7%3%2%3% 1,075 R
AZ 06-04 Fabrizio WardR +845%37%14%0%7%4% 600 L
AZ 06-04 Fox NewsR +546%41%8%2%2%3% 1,095 R
WV 06-03 Kaplan StrategiesR +2755%28%0%2%15%5% 464 L
NC 06-03 ECUR +548%43%0%3%5%3% 1,332 R
MI 06-03 Mitchell ResearchR +146%45%3%2%4%4% 697 L
GA 06-03 Quinnipiac UniversityR +643%37%8%8%4%3% 1,203 R
AL 06-03 AL GOPR +2660%34%0%0%7%4% 1,643 L 4
NC 06-02 North Star Opinion ResearchR +1244%32%9%6%8%4% 600 L
CA 06-02 Public Policy Institute of CAD +2431%55%0%13%1%4% 1,098 L
WI 05-31 Florida Atlantic UniversityD +535%40%12%7%7%6% 290 L
PA 05-31 Florida Atlantic UniversityD +142%43%7%4%5%3% 923 L
MI 05-31 Florida Atlantic UniversityD +143%44%8%1%5%4% 636 L
MA 05-30 UMass PollD +2127%48%9%5%12%4% 700 A
OH 05-29 National Public AffairsR +848%40%7%5%0%4% 801 L
NY 05-29 Emerson CollegeD +638%44%9%0%11%3% 1,000 L
NC 05-27 RasmussenR +851%43%0%4%3%3% 1,053 L
NV 05-25 Tyson GroupR +340%37%9%3%11%4% 601 L
SD 05-23 Mason-DixonR +1950%31%11%0%7%5% 500 R 2
VA 05-21 Roanoke CollegeD +238%40%12%8%2%4% 711 L
NV 05-21 Iron Light / LoAWR +337%34%15%1%13%4% 600 L
NV 05-21 Florida Atlantic UniversityR +646%40%8%2%4%5% 494 L
MI 05-21 Mitchell ResearchR +146%45%5%2%3%4% 697 L
AZ 05-21 Florida Atlantic UniversityR +443%39%7%4%6%4% 501 L
RI 05-20 University of New HampshireD +1933%52%6%3%5%4% 538 L
NH 05-20 NHJournal / Praecones AnalyticaTie37%37%15%0%12%3% 862 R
NH 05-20 University of New HampshireD +341%44%3%4%8%3% 1,140 L
MA 05-20 University of New HampshireD +2926%55%10%6%4%4% 526 L
NC 05-18 Change ResearchR +245%43%0%0%12%4% 835 L

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