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Source: Research 2000 (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RPat ToomeyRepublican45%piePoll Date: 2010-05-12
DJoe Sestak^Democratic40%Number Polled: 600
-Other-0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-15%Voter Type: Likely

  ^ = Incumbent Party (Current Senator Retiring)

Kos: Toomey marginally ahead

 By: Olawakandi (D-CA) on 2010-05-14 @ 13:48:52

Question: If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Joe Sestak, the Democrat, and Pat Toomey, the Republican?
JOE SESTAK PAT TOOMEY UNDECIDED
ALL 40 45 15
MEN 34 49 17
WOMEN 46 41 13
DEMOCRATS 73 13 14
REPUBLICANS 4 84 12
INDEPENDENTS 30 44 26
WHITE 37 50 13
HISPANIC 68 3 29
18-29 44 37 19
30-44 38 47 15
45-59 43 42 15
60+ 36 52 12
PHILLY CITY 66 13 21
PHILLY SUBURBS 47 37 16
PITTSBURGH 38 44 18
REST OF STATE 30 58 12

About this Poll
The Research 2000 Pennsylvania Poll was conducted from May 10 through May 12, 2010. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.

NOTE: There was an over sample conducted among Democratic primary voters totaling 400. The margin of error is 5%.

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