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Source: Marist College (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RMitch McConnell*Republican46%piePoll Date: 2014-05-06
DAlison Lundergan GrimesDemocratic45%Number Polled: 2,353
-Other-1%Margin of Error: 2%
-Undecided-8%Voter Type: Registered

  * = Incumbent

Senate Race is Close in Kentucky

 By: leip (--NY) on 2014-05-14 @ 13:12:22

Question:
If November's election for U.S. Senate in Kentucky were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
(including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate)

About this Poll
This survey of 2,772 adults was conducted April 30th through May 6th, 2014 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with NBC News. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of Kentucky were interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of Kentucky from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. To increase coverage, this landline sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers from Survey Sampling International. The two samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2010 Census results for age, gender, income, and race. Respondents in the household were selected by asking for the youngest male. Results are statistically significant within ±1.9 percentage points. There are 2,353 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±2.0 percentage points. There are 760 potential Republican primary voters, that is, voters who are registered Republicans. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.6 percentage points. There are 408 likely Republican primary voters defined by a probability turnout model. This model determines the likelihood respondents will vote in the May 2014 Republican primary based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±4.9 percentage points. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.

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