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Source: YouGov (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DJeanne Shaheen*Democratic48%piePoll Date: 2014-10-15
RScott BrownRepublican45%Number Polled: 322
-Other-5%Margin of Error: 7%
-Undecided-2%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Shaheen leads by three in poll for UMass Amherst

 By: Lief (D-NY) on 2014-10-20 @ 18:55:59

Question:
If the 2014 New Hampshire election for the U.S. Senate were being held today, which candidate would you vote for?

Scott Brown (Republican)
Jeanne Shaheen (Democrat)
Other
Not sure

About this Poll
YouGov interviewed 453 respondents who were then matched down to a sample of 400 to produce the final dataset. The respondents were matched to a sampling frame on gender, age, race, education, party identification, ideology, and political interest. The frame was constructed by stratified sampling from the full 2010 American Community Survey (ACS) sample with selection within strata by weighted sampling with replacements (using the person weights on the public use file). Data on voter registration status and turnout were matched to this frame using the November 2010 Current Population Survey. Data on interest in politics and party identification were then matched to this frame from the 2007 Pew Religious Life Survey. The matched cases were weighted to the sampling frame using propensity scores. The matched cases and the frame were combined and a logistic regression was estimated for inclusion in the frame. The propensity score function included age, gender, race/ethnicity, years of education, and ideology. The propensity scores were grouped into deciles of the estimated propensity score in the frame and post-stratified according to these deciles.

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