VA = from LEAN to STRONG
NJ = Dem 40% to Dem 30%; polls show Daggett all over the place. Still am very skeptical about a GOP victory.

This is the only time where I absolutely without a doubt want a whole bunch of egg on my face come Tuesday night in hopes of a Christie upset. I will gladly eat crow if Christie wins. Every single GOP'er on this forum can heckle me

VIRGINIA:
I'm on the verge of predicting this race as a strong GOP gain, but nevertheless, open races are generally closer than incumbents, and since VA doesn't have incumbents, races rarely are more than 10 points to either side.

NEW JERSEY:
As for this one, no one should have expected Christie to run away with this despite some polls earlier in the year showing him up by double digits. I just cannot call it for Christie yet until I see his numbers go back up to where they were in the spring, summer, and early September. October tends to lean Dem in polling while September tends to lean GOP (9/11 effect in NJ could be a factor?
This state ever since I can remember has always been a tease for Republicans with ANY state-wide election. I'm not about to get my hopes up and have them crash and burn on Nov 3.

However, on the positive side, Corzine has yet to lead in a poll since the first of the year. I am pulling all the way for Christie to edge this one out, but I'm simply worried about massive voter fraud throwing the election to Corzine. I hope the people of NJ will come to their senses and throw the bum out.

Ok. I see all these polls from NJ showing Christie way ahead right now. I think I share Keystone Phil's pessimism about the state of New Jersey. Polls not withstanding, this race is ours to lose, and we can't say it's over, cause it AIN'T over until November 3!!

On the other hand, I think we will win Virginia in a close race. McDonnell and Deeds have been razor thin. Just a few things to note how the BET owner, a strong DEmocrat, came out and supported McDonnell. I get the feeling he's got a good base of support. Plus, he's from a key demographic in Virginia, Fairfax County.

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