Date of Prediction: 2020-10-09 Version:10
Prediction Map Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Analysis
No Analysis Entered
Prediction History
Comments History
- hide
Version: 11 Minor modifications since last prediction. Version: 9 A bit better for Trump than my last prediction but still predicting a solid Biden victory. Version: 7 Updating Maine to take into consideration the effect of ranked choice voting on the outcome. Version: 6 Mild change from my last prediction based on gut feeling rather than detailed analysis. Version: 5 Wisconsin was improved for Biden because of today's Republican short-sightedness. Version: 4 Between the economy and COVFEFE-19, I think Trump gets dinged a bit more than I thought before, but this is still very much a placeholder prediction. A lot can change between now and November and its even less predictable than usual this far out. Version: 3 The reaction to Trump's attempted joke concerning the late Rep. Dingle causes me to move Michigan from Tossup to Lean D. Version: 2 Prediction 2 has a slightly larger R->D shift combined with removing any McMullin 2.0-style candidacy. Still essentially a placeholder prediction until we have an idea of who will be the Democratic nominee. Version: 1 Initial prediction is based on a 2% uniform shift R->D and will serve until the Democratic nomination is certain and we begin to get polls for the actual contest and for individual States.
Version History Member Comments User's Predictions
Links
|
Back to 2020 Presidential Prediction Home - Predictions Home