Predictions2020 Presidential Predictions - Lakigigar (I-BEL) Polls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2019-11-13 Version:3

Prediction Map
Lakigigar MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Lakigigar MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem263
 
Rep275
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem232
 
Rep187
 
Ind0
 
Tos119
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+20+31000211232+31
Rep000-20-31284275-31
Ind0000000000


Analysis

I became more optimistic about the Democrat's chances in 2020, but I'm not really sure who will actually win. I'll update my prediction when we're likely to know the D nominee. When Biden wins, i'll move AZ, WI and MI likely and maybe GA, FL in the D column. If Warren wins, i'll keep it something like this for now.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 264
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 101
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 81
P 2018 Senate 35/35 24/35 59/70 84.3% pie 2 11 4T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 19/36 52/72 72.2% pie 1 51 189T372
P 2016 President 52/56 32/56 84/112 75.0% pie 1 38 87T678
Aggregate Predictions 120/127 75/127 195/254 76.8% pie


Alabama Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Arizona Arkansas California California California California Colorado Connecticut Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Maryland Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Virginia Washington Washington Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wisconsin Wyoming

Back to 2020 Presidential Prediction Home - Predictions Home


Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved