Election 2020 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-10-27 Version:2

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	425
Rep	113
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	294
Rep	104
Ind	0
Tos	140

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+13	+2	+193	0	0	0	21	1	232	+193
Rep	0	0	0	-13	-2	-193	17	2	113	-193
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
71	43	23	4	1

Analysis

Sticking by wave election prediction. If anything this looks worse than I thought. Biden is looking to get 425 electoral votes which is nearly the same amount as HW Bush.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	47/56	24/56	71/112	63.4%	2	12	670	T	684
2018 Senate	29/35	19/35	48/70	68.6%	1	93	306	T	483
2014 Senate	31/36	13/36	44/72	61.1%	2	52	288	T	382
2012 President	55/56	43/56	98/112	87.5%	1	11	182	T	760
2010 Senate	27/37	9/37	36/74	48.6%	2	51	422	T	456
2010 Governor	20/37	10/37	30/74	40.5%	2	263	292	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	209/257	118/257	327/514	63.6%

Links

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