Election 2020 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-08-29 Version:4

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	238
Rep	300
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	210
Rep	204
Ind	0
Tos	124

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+1	0	+16	-1	0	-10	20	1	222	+6
Rep	+1	0	+10	-1	0	-16	29	4	290	-6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
89	46	36	4	3

Analysis

Natural election tightening and continued unrest hurt the Democratic cause, even as the suburbs move left. Trump's continued progress in rural and working-class white areas allows him to lose only Michigan while flipping Minnesota.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	50/56	39/56	89/112	79.5%	4	71	434	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	21/35	54/70	77.1%	1	221	101	T	423
2019 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	44	1	T	192
2018 Senate	29/35	19/35	48/70	68.6%	2	225	306	T	483
Aggregate Predictions	115/129	82/129	197/258	76.4%

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