Predictions2024 Presidential Predictions - DPKdebator (I-MA)
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Date of Prediction: 2023-03-24 Version:1

Prediction Map
DPKdebator MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
DPKdebator MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem319
 
Rep219
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem241
 
Rep219
 
Ind0
 
Tos78
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+1+1+17000261302+17
Rep000-1-1-17243219-17
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Assuming a Trump vs Biden rematch. It will be another close race, but I am not super optimistic that Trump will sink Biden given the lackluster results for the GOP in 2022.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 148
P 2023 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie 87
P 2022 Senate 31/35 25/35 56/70 80.0% pie 9 1 147T305
P 2022 Governor 32/36 26/36 58/72 80.6% pie 10 0 104T272
P 2021 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 71 48T118
P 2020 President 49/56 40/56 89/112 79.5% pie 1 16 434T684
P 2020 Senate 32/35 27/35 59/70 84.3% pie 1 14 7T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 1 16 51T293
P 2019 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 1 148 35T192
P 2018 Senate 34/35 23/35 57/70 81.4% pie 17 0 24T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 26/36 58/72 80.6% pie 17 2 56T372
Aggregate Predictions 224/249 177/249 401/498 80.5% pie


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