Election 2024 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2024-02-11 Version:1

Prediction Map

stry_cat Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

stry_cat Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	189
Rep	349
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	189
Rep	226
Ind	0
Tos	123

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	+1	+1	-10	0	-114	16	1	188	-113
Rep	+10	0	+114	0	-1	-1	25	3	235	+113
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

Assuming a fair election, it should be a landslide for Trump.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2022 Senate	29/35	19/35	48/70	68.6%		1	1	280	T	305
2022 Governor	27/36	16/36	43/72	59.7%		1	1	260	T	272
2020 President	43/56	37/56	80/112	71.4%		2	39	627	T	684
2016 President	46/56	23/56	69/112	61.6%		4	12	579	T	678
2012 President	54/56	39/56	93/112	83.0%		2	1	401	T	760
2012 Senate	27/33	9/33	36/66	54.5%		1	11	297	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	4/11	13/22	59.1%		1	11	179	T	228
2010 Senate	31/37	18/37	49/74	66.2%		1	1	242	T	456
2008 President	50/56	33/56	83/112	74.1%		3	8	404	T	1,505
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	16/33	46/66	69.7%		3	2	257	T	465
2004 President	51/56	28/56	79/112	70.5%		23	1	1285	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	397/465	242/465	639/930	68.7%

Links

	Presidential Predictions - Most Recent
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	Presidential Predictions Home
	Update My 2024 Presidential Prediction Map

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