2009 State and Federal elections in Germany
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Author Topic: 2009 State and Federal elections in Germany  (Read 220338 times)
Franzl
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« Reply #100 on: January 18, 2009, 12:04:07 PM »

I dunno why, but the CDU....in the last couple of elections....is always MUCH lower than expected.
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Franzl
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« Reply #101 on: January 18, 2009, 12:06:15 PM »
anyway....HOORAY!!!!
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #102 on: January 18, 2009, 12:06:53 PM »
Quote from: Attorney General Franzl on January 18, 2009, 12:00:40 PM
ARD exit poll:


CDU:   37.5%
SPD:    23.5%
FDP:    16.0%
Greens:    14.0%
Left:   5.1%

Pretty much what I was expecting.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #103 on: January 18, 2009, 12:07:51 PM »
Quote from: Attorney General Franzl on January 18, 2009, 12:04:07 PM

I dunno why, but the CDU....in the last couple of elections....is always MUCH lower than expected.


Let's wait for the counting. 1 year ago I think that the first exit poll showed the SPD ahead by 1, but after all votes were counted, the CDU pulled slightly ahead.

Yay Franzl, your CDU-Woman is interviewed ... Wink
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Franzl
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« Reply #104 on: January 18, 2009, 12:10:43 PM »
still, even if the CDU gained a percent or two, it'd still be less than many expected.

I'm thrilled with the FDP result, though.
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Franzl
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« Reply #105 on: January 18, 2009, 12:13:17 PM »
ZDF exit poll:

CDU: 37.5%
SPD: 23.5%
FDP: 17.0%
Greens: 13.5%
Left: 5.0%
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #106 on: January 18, 2009, 12:14:14 PM »
What's turnout like [qm]
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Franzl
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« Reply #107 on: January 18, 2009, 12:15:04 PM »
« Edited: January 18, 2009, 12:17:40 PM by Attorney General Franzl »

not entirely sure....but somewhere like 4-5% less than last year...so maybe somewhere around 56-58%.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #108 on: January 18, 2009, 12:25:34 PM »
Great results for the FDP and Greenies Smiley
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #109 on: January 18, 2009, 12:26:10 PM »
Eagerly awaiting the Frankfurt am Main VI results ... Grin

In which district of Frankfurt is Lewis actually in ?
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Hashemite
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« Reply #110 on: January 18, 2009, 12:26:33 PM »
Anyways. Any good sites for live results when they'll start rolling in?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #111 on: January 18, 2009, 12:27:45 PM »
Quote from: Hep Naoned, Breizh Ebet on January 18, 2009, 12:26:33 PM
Anyways. Any good sites for live results when they'll start rolling in?

http://www.statistik-hessen.de/wahlkreise.htm

(Districts)

http://www.statistik-hessen.de/gemeinden.htm

(Cities)

General map and results:

http://wahl.hr-online.de/aktuell/index.html
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Franzl
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« Reply #112 on: January 18, 2009, 12:29:26 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 18, 2009, 12:26:10 PM
Eagerly awaiting the Frankfurt am Main VI results ... Grin

In which district of Frankfurt is Lewis actually in ?

Lewis is in Frankfurt V, I think.


and Hashemite: I love the FDP results.....and the Greens (only because they've ruined the SPD Smiley )
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #113 on: January 18, 2009, 12:47:52 PM »
Quote from: Attorney General Franzl on January 18, 2009, 12:29:26 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 18, 2009, 12:26:10 PM
Eagerly awaiting the Frankfurt am Main VI results ... Grin

In which district of Frankfurt is Lewis actually in ?

Lewis is in Frankfurt V, I think.


and Hashemite: I love the FDP results.....and the Greens (only because they've ruined the SPD Smiley )
Frankfurt III. Grew up in V.

Okay... things to look out for for us nerds:

Change of CDU/FDP combined vote versus 2003.
Where the FDP voters are, exactly
Green vote; change on 2003.
Vote splitting
Turnout, esp. localised... I just walked pust my precinct, ambled in and asked the good people at the count how many had voted. 462. I *think* that's pretty bad.
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Franzl
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« Reply #114 on: January 18, 2009, 12:54:15 PM »
exit poll update (18:44):

CDU: 37.2
SPD: 23.8
FDP: 15.8
Green: 13.8
Left: 5.1
others: 4.3
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #115 on: January 18, 2009, 12:55:50 PM »
1st town is in: Hesseneck

SPD: 42.6 (-8.0)
CDU: 28.4 (-1.9)
FDP: 11.1 (+7.2)
Greens: 10.0 (+4.1)
Left: 6.1 (+0.7)
Nazis: 0.8 (-0.5)
Republicans: 0.6 (+0.1)
BüSo: 0.3 (+0.3)
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Franzl
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« Reply #116 on: January 18, 2009, 01:00:14 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 18, 2009, 12:55:50 PM
1st town is in: Hesseneck

SPD: 42.6 (-8.0)
CDU: 28.4 (-1.9)
FDP: 11.1 (+7.2)
Greens: 10.0 (+4.1)
Left: 6.1 (+0.7)
Nazis: 0.8 (-0.5)
Republicans: 0.6 (+0.1)
BüSo: 0.3 (+0.3)

there are quite a few more now...not that they mean anything.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #117 on: January 18, 2009, 01:03:42 PM »
With 121/544 precincts from Frankfurt so far...

CDU 35.7
SPD 21.3
Greens 16.3
FDP 14.7
Left 8.1
turnout 56.0

65/239 from Wiesbaden...

CDU 38.7
SPD 21.9
FDP 16.6
Greens 13.8
Left 5.7

Uhh... Offenbach? Clicking for "latest results" gets you 2008? What's up sillies?
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Hashemite
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« Reply #118 on: January 18, 2009, 01:04:20 PM »
Turnout around 60% (-4%) according to Infratest-dimap.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #119 on: January 18, 2009, 01:07:33 PM »
2009 vs 2008.

Just kidding. All I'm getting is a dead link. And I needed that for the indirect 2003 comparison.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #120 on: January 18, 2009, 01:08:52 PM »
2003 (CDU+FDP) was 56.7, (SPD+Green) 39.2.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #121 on: January 18, 2009, 01:09:41 PM »
45 of 101 precincts counted in Frankfurt VI:

Osterburg (CDU) - 41.6% 
Ypsilanti (SPD) - 22.8%

Actually, the CDU candidates are leading in all of Frankfurts districts right now ...
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #122 on: January 18, 2009, 01:12:14 PM »
Ooh, my precinct is in.

1195 registered voters
Day vote 462
   
CDU 101 22,2%
   
SPD 117 25,8%
   
FDP 76 16,7%
   
Greens 101 22,2%
   
Left 42 9,3%
   
other 17 3,7%

This makes me wish I'd voted Green. Sad
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #123 on: January 18, 2009, 01:17:09 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 18, 2009, 01:09:41 PM
Actually, the CDU candidates are leading in all of Frankfurts districts right now ...
The only one to watch is Frankfurt V.

And no, Paris is ahead.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #124 on: January 18, 2009, 01:19:02 PM »
Quote from: ican'tbelievei'mnotverin on January 18, 2009, 01:17:09 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 18, 2009, 01:09:41 PM
Actually, the CDU candidates are leading in all of Frankfurts districts right now ...
The only one to watch is Frankfurt V.

And no, Paris is ahead.

Now ... Tongue
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