New poll hype thread
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Author Topic: New poll hype thread  (Read 94591 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #225 on: September 19, 2016, 08:08:58 PM »

I just answered a long robopoll from "GMI", which I'm assuming is Gravis Marketing Inc., so look for them to release a Georgia poll soon.  Questions were (as best I can remember):

Are you registered to vote?
How likely are you to vote?  (Not likely, somewhat likely, very likely, I always vote)
Favorability of Obama, Clinton, Trump, Johnson, Stein
Presidential preference (choices Clinton, Trump, Johnson, Stein, although Stein is only a write-in candidate here)
Country on right track/wrong track?
How is the economy working for you and your family?
Approve/disapprove of Clinton's job as SoS?
How important is a candidate's health to you?
How do you perceive Clinton's health relative to Trump's?  (Better, worse, about the same)
When Clinton left the 9/11 memorial and subsequently announced she had pneumonia, did it make you think she was incapable of carrying out the duties of President?
Are you aware of the "basket of deplorables" comment?
What's your opinion of the deplorables comment? (Outrageous and deplorable, and a major issue; Deplorable, but not a major issue; unsure [There was no "not deplorable" or "I agree with" option])
Opinion of Obama's plan to increase # of refugees from 85K this year to 110K next year?
Opinion of Clinton's plan to increase # of Syrian refugees from 10K this year to 65K annually?
[Possibly one or two more that I can't recall]
Demographic questions (age, race, gender, education level, party ID, political ideology)

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Flake
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« Reply #226 on: September 19, 2016, 08:10:27 PM »

Proabably some Breitbart/Gravis poll
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #227 on: September 19, 2016, 11:15:40 PM »

tweet from head of Monmouth this morning.

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so they have some stuff in the field apparently.
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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #228 on: September 20, 2016, 08:38:57 AM »

Monmouth will have a FL poll out in 3.5 hours
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #229 on: September 20, 2016, 12:25:26 PM »

https://twitter.com/PollsterPatrick/status/778282894942961664

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Yay new NV and IA polls from Monmouth!
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
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« Reply #230 on: September 20, 2016, 12:31:38 PM »


Clinton +4 in Iowa
Clinton +6 in Nevada
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« Reply #231 on: September 20, 2016, 12:48:18 PM »

So Iowa is going to swing 12 points in a week?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #232 on: September 20, 2016, 12:49:27 PM »

Clinton + 2 in NV
Trump +4 in IA
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« Reply #233 on: September 20, 2016, 01:22:33 PM »

PPP has told us the happiness scale for NC

Presidential: 4-5
Governor: 7-8
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #234 on: September 20, 2016, 01:23:17 PM »

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/778297430982987776
Guessing tie to Clinton +2 in NC.
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Xing
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« Reply #235 on: September 20, 2016, 01:31:44 PM »

Tie in NC, Cooper +4
Clinton +3 in NV (lol)
Clinton +1 in IA
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Matty
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« Reply #236 on: September 20, 2016, 01:36:05 PM »

So, how is 1-10 scaled? Is < 5 = unhappy? or does 0 = no happiness, and anything > 0 is some degree of happy?
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dspNY
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« Reply #237 on: September 20, 2016, 01:38:35 PM »


Nope, my guess is Trump +1 or Tie, and Cooper +6
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dspNY
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« Reply #238 on: September 20, 2016, 01:46:41 PM »


My guess is Clinton +3 in NV and Trump +3 in Iowa
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elcorazon
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« Reply #239 on: September 20, 2016, 01:49:16 PM »

I'll guess NV will be Clinton +1 and IA will be Trump +3
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #240 on: September 20, 2016, 01:51:27 PM »

Marquette Poll tomorrow too:

WI: Clinton +7
NV: Clinton +3
IA: Trump +1
NC: Tie, Cooper +5
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Matty
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« Reply #241 on: September 20, 2016, 01:56:36 PM »

Does antyone know how ppp's happiness scale works? Is 0 neutral and 10 clam in high tide, or is 5 neutral, 0 hell, 10 cloud 9?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #242 on: September 20, 2016, 01:58:09 PM »

Does antyone know how ppp's happiness scale works? Is 0 neutral and 10 clam in high tide, or is 5 neutral, 0 hell, 10 cloud 9?
5 usually translates into a Clinton lead.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #243 on: September 20, 2016, 03:20:04 PM »
« Edited: September 20, 2016, 04:31:25 PM by heatcharger »

PPP has had a strange Trump house effect in certain states, including NC. I'll say Trump +2 there.

For Monmouth, I'll say Clinton +2 in Nevada and Trump +2 in Iowa.

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Gass3268
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« Reply #244 on: September 20, 2016, 04:19:46 PM »

Monmouth didn't poll Iowa and Nevada again. There director said that he can tell by the data that they are gathering that the trends have shifted towards Clinton nationally since last week.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #245 on: September 20, 2016, 11:05:42 PM »

Marquette should be releasing their results tomorrow, correct?
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Xing
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« Reply #246 on: September 20, 2016, 11:44:14 PM »

Marquette should be releasing their results tomorrow, correct?

Yep, at 12:15 pm (Central Time, I presume) tomorrow.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #247 on: September 20, 2016, 11:45:13 PM »

Marquette should be releasing their results tomorrow, correct?

Yep, at 12:15 pm (Central Time, I presume) tomorrow.

In that case, I'll say Clinton+7.
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Xing
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« Reply #248 on: September 20, 2016, 11:47:21 PM »

Also, PPP might be hinting that Cooper is beating McCrory by at least 4 https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/778405124737675264
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #249 on: September 20, 2016, 11:50:51 PM »


The thing about happiness scale is that they're usually relative.

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