Gubernatorial Ratings and Predictions - Utah

[Xing]

Safe R, Herbert wins 70-27.

Current Balance of Power:
Republicans: 28
Democrats: 17
Independents: 1

Ratings:

North Dakota: Likely R -> Safe R

Safe D: Delaware (Jack Markell), Oregon (Kate Brown)
Likely D: Montana (Steve Bullock)
Lean D: Missouri (Jay Nixon), North Carolina (Pat McCrory)
Toss-Up: Indiana (Mike Pence), New Hampshire (Maggie Hassan)
Lean R: -
Likely R: -
Safe R: North Dakota (Jack Dalrymple)

Predictions:

Past winners:

John Carney (D-DE)
John Gregg (D-IN)
Chris Koster (D-MO)
Steve Bullock (D-MT)
Colin Van Ostern (D-NH)
Roy Cooper (D-NC)
Doug Burgum (R-ND)
Kate Brown (D-OR)

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[Zioneer]

This would have only been exciting if Jim Matheson had run. As it is, Weinholtz is a pretty flawed candidate, and he's a very left-wing type at a time when Utah would have been okay with a moderate Democrat like Matheson. Weinholtz is fairly left-wing, fundraised off of a musical mocking Mormonism (not Book of Mormon, but a local musical), his wife was arrested for (medical) marijuana possesion, and Herbert's had a pretty successful eight years.

Weinholtz won't get more than 35% at best.

[ElectionsGuy]

Safe R, 70-28 Herbert.