MN Sen Recount (UPDATE: Stuart Smalley certified winner, lawsuit forthcoming)

[Mr.Phips]

Coleman +143 according to StarTrib, 30% recounted, but only 8% in Minneapolis.

it's becoming more difficult to continue to expect the worst.

What is the worst?

[Rococo4]

Coleman +143 according to StarTrib, 30% recounted, but only 8% in Minneapolis.

it's becoming more difficult to continue to expect the worst.

i see +162 for Coleman right now

[Ronnie]

It makes you think why Coleman's lead is shrinking so fast.

[Rococo4]

whats going on in Dakota, where Coleman did well, to see him lose 32 votes overall - so far

[© tweed]

Coleman +143 according to StarTrib, 30% recounted, but only 8% in Minneapolis.

it's becoming more difficult to continue to expect the worst.

What is the worst?

Coleman winning

[© tweed]

Coleman +143 according to StarTrib, 30% recounted, but only 8% in Minneapolis.

it's becoming more difficult to continue to expect the worst.

i see +162 for Coleman right now

now I am seeing 142 as of an update 10 mins ago.  are you looking at this, or something else?

http://ww2.startribune.com/news/metro/elections/returns/2008/recount/msenci.html

[Rococo4]

mine just updated to that

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Keep in mind the counts don't include the challenged ballots, and Coleman has more challenges. Word on the street is also that his people are making rather frivolous ones as well when voter intent is obvious, such as the check mark one or the infamous one in my sig.

[Verily]

whats going on in Dakota, where Coleman did well, to see him lose 32 votes overall - so far

Probably a tabulation error when votes were first counted. Someone read a 40 as a 90 or something. Changes in recounts are certainly not necessarily fraudulent. In fact, the current results are indicating that, if Franken wins, it will be a "clean" win. That need not hold, of course.

[MarkWarner08]

Recount so far:
Coleman: -212
Franken: -126

New Coleman lead: 129 votes

Do any Rossi fans remember the significance of that number?
http://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/20081104/SenateRecount.asp

[Sam Spade]

SOS has it updated.

Coleman lead at 129 (-86).  360 challenged by Coleman, 375 challenged by Franken. 51%P counted, 42%V counted.  Still skews Coleman by about 3%.

I'll work through the numbers and update the table in a second.

[MarkWarner08]

SOS has it updated.

Coleman lead at 129 (-86).  360 challenged by Coleman, 375 challenged by Franken. 51%P counted, 42%V counted.  Still skews Coleman by about 3%.

I'll work through the numbers and update the table in a second.

Looks like Franken's observers got the memo about challenging Coleman ballots.

[© tweed]

StarTrib says 136

[Verily]

StarTrib says 136

They appear to be ahead of the SoS right now, so this is the most current number.

[Alcon]

Can someone explain the chances of a flip for those of us who totally haven't been paying attention?

[Ronnie]

Can someone explain the chances of a flip for those of us who totally haven't been paying attention?

Intrade has it at 55%.

[Sam Spade]

Ran out of room in the original post.  I'll probably have to split the results too.

Counties - No Results

Aitkin

Carlton

Marshall

Martin

Meeker

Renville

Counties - Recount Not Started

Becker (Nov. 24)

Benton (Nov. 21)

Blue Earth (Nov. 24)

Brown (Nov. 24)

Dodge (Dec. 1)

Goodhue (Nov. 24)

Jackson (Nov. 24)

Kanabec (Nov. 21)

Koochiching (Nov. 24)

Lac Qui Parle (Nov. 21)

Lake of the Woods (Nov. 24)

Le Sueur (Dec. 1)

Mahnomen (Nov. 21)

Mille Lacs (Nov. 21)

Mower (Nov. 24)

Rock (Dec. 3)

Scott (Dec. 3)

Sherburne (Nov. 25)

Stevens (Nov. 26)

Todd (Nov. 25)

Wadena (Nov. 21)

Waseca (Nov. 21)

Wilkin (Nov. 22)

Winona (Dec. 3)

Wright (Dec. 3)

[Sam Spade]

What's really funny is to notice to counties where the party's observer went a little nuts in challenging ballots... 

[Lief 🗽]

StarTrib says 136

They appear to be ahead of the SoS right now, so this is the most current number.

How does a newspaper get the results before the agency in charge of counting the results?

[© tweed]

StarTrib says 136

They appear to be ahead of the SoS right now, so this is the most current number.

How does a newspaper get the results before the agency in charge of counting the results?

only one is run for profit

[Sam Spade]

StarTrib says 136

They appear to be ahead of the SoS right now, so this is the most current number.

How does a newspaper get the results before the agency in charge of counting the results?

Probably by talking to election officials in the local area.  For example, the Strib is 10% ahead of the SOS in Hennepin.

[ChrisFromNJ]

Coleman is up by 3% in the current recount.

http://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/20081104/SenateRecount.asp

One would guess that Franken's best precincts have yet to be recounted. Despite that, he has gained close to 100 votes over Franken. I'm not sure what to read into this, but it certainly isn't bad news for Franken.

[ChrisFromNJ]

Also, the challenges are just about even now. 414 for Franken and 409 for Coleman.

[© tweed]

is there any chance that we don't know the winner by January 6th?

[Sam Spade]

is there any chance that we don't know the winner by January 6th?

Would only happen by major court order (such that can't be done in the weeks between finishing the recount and January 6th) and I consider the chances of that to be quite low.