LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term
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  LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term
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Author Topic: LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term  (Read 46487 times)
Ashley Biden's Diary
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #50 on: October 10, 2019, 01:52:25 PM »

Edwards 44
Rispone 32
Abraham 20

Rispone wins runoff 54-46
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Politician
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« Reply #51 on: October 10, 2019, 01:59:41 PM »

LMAO
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soundchaser
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« Reply #52 on: October 10, 2019, 02:07:37 PM »

Edwards 49
Rispone 25
Abraham 22

Edwards defeats Rispone in runoff, 53-47

Something very much along these lines, give or take a point. Not sure Rispone will crack 25 in the primary, but it'll be close.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #53 on: October 10, 2019, 02:08:53 PM »


This is completely in the realm of possibility. Have you noticed how much JBE is struggling even despite the fact he’s popular?
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Politician
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« Reply #54 on: October 10, 2019, 02:13:33 PM »
« Edited: October 10, 2019, 02:16:35 PM by Slam Dunk MI »


This is completely in the realm of possibility. Have you noticed how much JBE is struggling even despite the fact he’s popular?
Edwards is above 44% in every poll with undecideds

It's "in the realm of plausibility" the same way your beloved Collin County voting D is "within the realm of plausibility"

And no, JBE won't win St. Tammany Parish despite trendz.
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Xing
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« Reply #55 on: October 10, 2019, 02:23:05 PM »

Edwards 47%
Rispone 24%
Abraham 19%

Edwards 51.5%
Rispone 48.5%
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
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« Reply #56 on: October 10, 2019, 02:31:05 PM »

Here is my final Jungle Primary Prediction

Edwards 43%
Rispone 30%
Abraham 20%
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #57 on: October 10, 2019, 03:11:36 PM »

Mine :

Edwards (D) : 46%
Rispone (R) : 27%
Abraham (R) : 23%
Landrieu (I) : 2%
Others : 2%
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #58 on: October 10, 2019, 08:13:21 PM »

Here is my final Jungle Primary Prediction

Edwards 43%
Rispone 30%
Abraham 20%


If it's that close, Edwards is losing the runoff. 
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #59 on: October 10, 2019, 08:21:24 PM »

Lol, someone is desperate:



Yeah, Republicans totally run on #KitchenTableIssues

In a sense, yes. They want Pelosi to go back to the kitchen table.

Lol, good one. In this particular instance I don't think that would hurt anybody. She's retirement home age.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #60 on: October 10, 2019, 08:27:33 PM »

Here is my final Jungle Primary Prediction

Edwards 43%
Rispone 30%
Abraham 20%


If it's that close, Edwards is losing the runoff. 


Once Trump rallies the racists all bets are off. The early vote doesn’t give me any confidence at all. Likely D is way too generous
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #61 on: October 10, 2019, 09:15:23 PM »

My prediction:

51% Edwards (D)
25% Rispone (R)
21% Abraham (R)
  3% Others
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #62 on: October 10, 2019, 11:23:33 PM »

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Louisiana_gubernatorial_election#Polling

Sadly polls show JBE in the mid-to-high 40s. Enough undecideds to give him the win on Saturday, but if they're still 'undecided' they probably won't go JBE.

I'll be generous and say 48%JBE, 52% not-JBE. Hopefully the President's rally on Friday helps us force a runoff.

My friend Nuke is voting Abraham and his family is voting Rispone. We're going to want to beat JBE because taking out a popular incumbent moderate will demonstrate our strength and give the GOP machine a warmup in anticipation for 2020. Same with keeping Bevin afloat in KY. If Bevin wins by decent margins and JBE gets unseated, that'll be an indication that Trump/GOP will at least put in a good fight in 2020. A great way to flex before the start of 2020.

Anyway if a runoff happens I'm optimistic because we can spend weeks really attacking JBE and promoting a single candidate.
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Ashley Biden's Diary
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« Reply #63 on: October 10, 2019, 11:38:26 PM »

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Louisiana_gubernatorial_election#Polling

Sadly polls show JBE in the mid-to-high 40s. Enough undecideds to give him the win on Saturday, but if they're still 'undecided' they probably won't go JBE.

I'll be generous and say 48%JBE, 52% not-JBE. Hopefully the President's rally on Friday helps us force a runoff.

My friend Nuke is voting Abraham and his family is voting Rispone. We're going to want to beat JBE because taking out a popular incumbent moderate will demonstrate our strength and give the GOP machine a warmup in anticipation for 2020. Same with keeping Bevin afloat in KY. If Bevin wins by decent margins and JBE gets unseated, that'll be an indication that Trump/GOP will at least put in a good fight in 2020. A great way to flex before the start of 2020.

Anyway if a runoff happens I'm optimistic because we can spend weeks really attacking JBE and promoting a single candidate.

What do you mean "at least put up a good fight"? Aren't you certain of his victory?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #64 on: October 10, 2019, 11:51:52 PM »

Unfortunately, I'll be working on Saturday night and won't be able to see the first results trickle in. Here's my final prediction for the race, with JBE just barely missing winning threshold. The runoff vs no runoff question is very much a toss-up, though, and relies on how election day voters turnout and vote relative to early voters.

JBE: 49%
Rispone: 26%
Abraham: 21%
Others: 5%
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Skye
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« Reply #65 on: October 11, 2019, 09:02:36 AM »

Trump rally tonight:

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #66 on: October 11, 2019, 09:06:33 AM »

I’m the only one predicting an outright Edwards win.

You have heard it here first !
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #67 on: October 11, 2019, 03:46:02 PM »

What do you mean "at least put up a good fight"? Aren't you certain of his victory?

Trump's gonna win, sure, but unseating JBE shows that he'd be willing to put in the hard work to go an extra mile. The Democrats won't be win the White House for quite a long while.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #68 on: October 11, 2019, 03:50:59 PM »

What do you mean "at least put up a good fight"? Aren't you certain of his victory?

Trump's gonna win, sure, but unseating JBE shows that he'd be willing to put in the hard work to go an extra mile. The Democrats won't be win the White House for quite a long while.

You are truly the wisest among us.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #69 on: October 11, 2019, 05:55:47 PM »

Some people think that a Louisiana Republican could win tomorrow because black voters and women may stay home because Edwards signed the Blue Lives Matter bill and the abortion bill.

Edwards alienated the Democratic base to appeal to moderate white voters.

https://www.wwltv.com/article/news/politics/republican-firepower-aims-to-oust-john-bel-edwards/289-fc2c1b48-09fc-4e85-b684-26e9f46ae0ee
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #70 on: October 11, 2019, 06:52:31 PM »

I usually like doing these the week before, but since I've been a bit busy and forgotten...

48% Edwards
29% Rispone
21% Abraham


No idea about run-off numbers, but the gut says Rispone wins.
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Lisa's voting Biden
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« Reply #71 on: October 11, 2019, 07:12:09 PM »

Edwards - 47%
Rispone - 27%
Abraham - 23%
Others - 3%
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #72 on: October 11, 2019, 07:47:10 PM »
« Edited: October 11, 2019, 08:12:45 PM by Atlas: Consistently Wrong »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_H5yqYTMYo8

So nice to see a fellow boy from my part of Queens represent America and travel all over the country, including places like my man Nuke's state, to combat the dangerous Democrat Party.

Edit: hahahahahahaha he used the word 'bull****' to describe the impeachment (aka soft coup attempt)....keep telling it like it is Mr. President, despite how cucked Queens is, there are still hundreds of thousands of people here who are proud of you.

edit2: "I don't know why you like a guy who lives on 5th Avenue but I love you too." hahahaha it's because you're a great President

edit3: Wow...Trump said that John Bel Edwards was a superdelegate for Crooked Hillary. I didn't even know that!

edit4:
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #73 on: October 11, 2019, 08:21:13 PM »

I think Edwards is narrowly forced into a runoff and proceeds to narrowly lose said runoff.
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McNukes™ #NYCMMWasAHero
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« Reply #74 on: October 11, 2019, 08:39:51 PM »

After seeing that pic I'm changing my prediction. JBE loses.
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