Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Iowa

[ElectionsGuy]

Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

Note: If you think Johnson/Other will win a state, just vote 'Other' and don't vote for a rating.

Update/vote in these threads if you haven't already! There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall result: Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana

Ratings

Safe Clinton: 92
Likely Clinton: 0
Lean Clinton: 9
Toss-Up: 29
Lean Trump: 27
Likely Trump: 14
Safe Trump: 19

Clinton: 101
Trump: 60
Toss-Up: 29

Predictions

Clinton: 130
Trump: 60

Iowa: Lean D, 51-46 Clinton.

[ElectionsGuy]

I'm glad the turnout is really good in these polls but I'm still wondering why so many people are missing the bottom portion. Should I put (R) and (D) labels after Trump and Clinton, should I put first names there? I'm not sure what else I can do.

[ElectionsGuy]

Revising: Toss-Up, 49-47 Clinton. Should of done this a while ago, but was just too skeptical of the polls. I have difficulty seeing the reasoning of some Obama voters to vote for Trump here, but the closeness is definitely real. Also weird because the states around it are all as much for Clinton as they were for Obama or more.

[ElectionsGuy]

Surprised that it is still Clinton ahead  73-43.  If Trump is ahead in Ohio thread 45-22 then I would expect Iowa to be in a similar situation.

Not very many people go back and change their vote it seems.

For this particular one and some of the Maine threads, people have changed their vote. A lot of it was new votes but around the time this thread was created it was around 75% Clinton now its 56% Clinton (it was 60% just this morning, at this rate Trump will be the predicted winner in a few days).

[ElectionsGuy]

Bumping due to closeness in predictions.